New DailyKos/Research 2000 tracking poll
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Author Topic: New DailyKos/Research 2000 tracking poll  (Read 25243 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #150 on: October 07, 2008, 08:43:27 AM »
Tuesday - October 7, 2008:

Obama - 52% (nc)
McCain - 41% (+1)

Today's numbers adjusted for a more reasonable turnout:

Democrats (40%): Obama by 88-8
Republicans (35%): McCain by 85-7
Independents (25%): Obama by 51-39

Obama 50%, McCain 43% - and their numbers start making more sense.

FYI: R2000 uses 35% DEM, 26% REP, 30% IND and 9% OTHER
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #151 on: October 08, 2008, 07:20:05 AM »
Wednesday - October 7, 2008:

Obama - 51% (-1)
McCain - 41% (nc)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,178
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #152 on: October 09, 2008, 06:56:49 AM »
Thursday - October 9, 2008:

Obama - 51% (nc)
McCain - 41% (nc)

Wednesday Sample (360 LV, MoE = 5%):

Obama - 52% (+2)
McCain - 40% (-2)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,178
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« Reply #153 on: October 09, 2008, 06:58:22 AM »
Given the 4%-jump for Obama yesterday and Zogby was showing a 2-point jump, I expect the beginning of the Obama-debate-bounce.

But lets wait for Rasmussen and Gallup (well, can Gallup get even any higher ?)
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Zarn
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« Reply #154 on: October 09, 2008, 07:30:14 AM »
This is about as legit as Zogby.... so it is all irrelevent.

The MOE makes it horrible, in addtion to its biased polling.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #155 on: October 09, 2008, 07:15:45 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2008, 07:23:05 PM by Kalimantan »
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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #156 on: October 10, 2008, 07:44:30 AM »
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #157 on: October 10, 2008, 08:12:09 AM »
Quote from: Zarn on October 09, 2008, 07:30:14 AM
This is about as legit as Zogby.... so it is all irrelevent.

The MOE makes it horrible, in addtion to its biased polling.
lol, Republicans are fun.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #158 on: October 10, 2008, 08:40:08 AM »
Friday- October 9, 2008:

Obama - 52% (+1)
McCain - 40% (-1)

Thursday's single day sample was +14, Obama's largest single day lead so far.
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Zarn
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« Reply #159 on: October 10, 2008, 08:41:42 AM »
Quote from: Governor Lief on October 10, 2008, 08:12:09 AM
Quote from: Zarn on October 09, 2008, 07:30:14 AM
This is about as legit as Zogby.... so it is all irrelevent.

The MOE makes it horrible, in addtion to its biased polling.
lol, Republicans are fun.

It's Daily Kos, dude. That's like JJ, StatesRights, and I deciding to do a poll. Actually, this is still worse. We actually understand that an inaccurate poll is worthless.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #160 on: October 10, 2008, 11:15:38 AM »
DailyKos is not doing a poll. Research2000, a respected and non-partisan polling firm is doing the poll. DailyKos is giving them the money to do the poll and getting the results in return. There's no conspiracy here; DailyKos is interested in winning elections, and I don't really get how fake polls would help them to that end.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,178
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Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #161 on: October 10, 2008, 11:18:54 AM »
« Edited: October 10, 2008, 11:22:46 AM by Tender Branson »
Quote from: Governor Lief on October 10, 2008, 11:15:38 AM
DailyKos is not doing a poll. Research2000, a respected and non-partisan polling firm is doing the poll. DailyKos is giving them the money to do the poll and getting the results in return. There's no conspiracy here; DailyKos is interested in winning elections, and I don't really get how fake polls would help them to that end.

But in their poll you have to subtract about 2% from Obama's numbers and add another 2% to McCain's and the overall numbers are reasonable.

There's no way their party breakdown is accurate.
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Kalimantan
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E: -3.10, S: -1.74

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« Reply #162 on: October 11, 2008, 06:50:09 AM »
Saturday - October 10, 2008:

Obama - 52% (nc)
McCain - 40% (nc)
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J. J.
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« Reply #163 on: October 11, 2008, 03:52:44 PM »
Quote from: Zarn on October 10, 2008, 08:41:42 AM
Quote from: Governor Lief on October 10, 2008, 08:12:09 AM
Quote from: Zarn on October 09, 2008, 07:30:14 AM
This is about as legit as Zogby.... so it is all irrelevent.

The MOE makes it horrible, in addtion to its biased polling.
lol, Republicans are fun.

It's Daily Kos, dude. That's like JJ, StatesRights, and I deciding to do a poll. Actually, this is still worse. We actually understand that an inaccurate poll is worthless.

The have some problems with their weighting; if they would fix that, I'd be happy with it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #164 on: October 12, 2008, 07:39:25 PM »

Sunday - October 12, 2008:

Obama - 53% (+1)
McCain - 40% (nc)
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Kalimantan
Jr. Member
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Posts: 841
Indonesia


Political Matrix
E: -3.10, S: -1.74

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« Reply #165 on: October 13, 2008, 06:56:15 AM »
Monday - October 13, 2008:

Obama - 52% (-1)
McCain - 40% (nc)
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