WY: Rasmussen: McCain has an unimpressive lead over Obama
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Author Topic: WY: Rasmussen: McCain has an unimpressive lead over Obama  (Read 2184 times)
Aizen
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« on: September 11, 2008, 04:01:49 PM »
New Poll: Wyoming President by Rasmussen on 2008-09-11

Summary: D: 39%, R: 58%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2008, 04:05:58 PM »
I'm not sure if McCain can break 60.  It's pretty polarized in Wyoming.

Wait, what the hell are those independent numbers?  Obama leading by 14?
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TomC
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2008, 04:07:45 PM »
interesting
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2008, 04:15:54 PM »
19 points is 'unimpressive'?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2008, 04:16:43 PM »
I'm sorry. I can't see Obama breaking 40% in Wyoming of all places.
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Person Man
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« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2008, 05:19:37 PM »
Gee...if Obama can break 40% in this area, especially polling like this during this bounce...it would make me very hopeful for the future.
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: September 11, 2008, 05:20:17 PM »
I don't see an especially logical reason for Wyoming and Idaho being this divergent.
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Verily
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« Reply #7 on: September 11, 2008, 05:22:13 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on September 11, 2008, 04:05:58 PM
I'm not sure if McCain can break 60.  It's pretty polarized in Wyoming.

Wait, what the hell are those independent numbers?  Obama leading by 14?

Ski bunnies? Who else is independent in Wyoming? Going by historical trends, I would expect Obama to do better than average among independents in Wyoming, but worse than average among Democrats (miners). And about equally poorly to elsewhere among Republicans, who are of course the lions' share of the electorate.
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Verily
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« Reply #8 on: September 11, 2008, 05:22:47 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on September 11, 2008, 05:20:17 PM
I don't see an especially logical reason for Wyoming and Idaho being this divergent.

Really high Mormon enthusiasm for Palin? That's the only real difference between the two...
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phk
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« Reply #9 on: September 11, 2008, 05:24:28 PM »
Quote from: Verily on September 11, 2008, 05:22:47 PM
Quote from: Alcon on September 11, 2008, 05:20:17 PM
I don't see an especially logical reason for Wyoming and Idaho being this divergent.

Really high Mormon enthusiasm for Palin? That's the only real difference between the two...

Mormons are approx 10% of the pop in WY and 33% in ID so Verily could be right about this.
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Sbane
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« Reply #10 on: September 11, 2008, 05:29:02 PM »
Also didn't Palin grow up in Idaho? Not sure if that has an effect.
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Person Man
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« Reply #11 on: September 11, 2008, 05:44:41 PM »
Quote from: sbane on September 11, 2008, 05:29:02 PM
Also didn't Palin grow up in Idaho? Not sure if that has an effect.

Yeah, Kansas was pretty close in a few polls, as well. ...but Mormons could be the key.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: September 11, 2008, 05:47:07 PM »

Are you familiar with Wyoming?
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Sbane
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« Reply #13 on: September 11, 2008, 05:49:28 PM »
Quote from: The Evil Of Innocence on September 11, 2008, 05:44:41 PM
Quote from: sbane on September 11, 2008, 05:29:02 PM
Also didn't Palin grow up in Idaho? Not sure if that has an effect.

Yeah, Kansas was pretty close in a few polls, as well. ...but Mormons could be the key.

HAH....... but weren't mormons already supporting Mccain?
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phk
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« Reply #14 on: September 11, 2008, 08:14:16 PM »
« Edited: September 11, 2008, 08:23:34 PM by phknrocket1k »
Quote from: sbane on September 11, 2008, 05:49:28 PM
Quote from: The Evil Of Innocence on September 11, 2008, 05:44:41 PM
Quote from: sbane on September 11, 2008, 05:29:02 PM
Also didn't Palin grow up in Idaho? Not sure if that has an effect.

Yeah, Kansas was pretty close in a few polls, as well. ...but Mormons could be the key.

HAH....... but weren't mormons already supporting Mccain?

Mormons are good people.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #15 on: September 11, 2008, 08:35:05 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on September 11, 2008, 05:20:17 PM
I don't see an especially logical reason for Wyoming and Idaho being this divergent.

Republican energy policies have been very divisive in Wyoming, undoing some of the sagebrush rebellion tendencies.
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RJ
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« Reply #16 on: September 11, 2008, 08:44:13 PM »
« Edited: September 11, 2008, 08:45:54 PM by RJ »
Quote from: sbane on September 11, 2008, 05:29:02 PM
Also didn't Palin grow up in Idaho? Not sure if that has an effect.

Palin was born in Idaho but her family moved to Alaska when she was 3 months old. She attended the University of Idaho, but I'm not sure what she studied/majored in.

I'd still figure Wyoming to be in the McCain+30 category, but 19 is still u noteworthy.
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