NJ: Strategic Vision: Obama Leads NJ by 4%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: New Jersey President by Strategic Vision on 2008-09-18

Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, I: 2%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

1. If the election for President were held today would you support the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joseph Biden or the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin?

Obama/Biden 47%

McCain/Palin 43%

Other 2%

Undecided 8%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hey, look at ElectoralVote from this day in 2004.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/Pres/Maps/Sep18.html

[Zarn]

Difference McCain =/= Bush

NJ hated Bush.

[Aizen]

Difference McCain =/= Bush

NJ hated Bush.

Bush polled better than McCain has been polling

[Zarn]

I've noticed. Is there a decent point?

[??????????]

Solid Obama

Obama 55%
McCain 45%

Probably ends worse.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

The best McCain could probably do is what Bush did in 2004. But I do know race will play a role here, at least some people who have second homes down here say they won't support Obama because America isn't ready for a black President. They just won't vote.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Hey, look at ElectoralVote from this day in 2004.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/Pres/Maps/Sep18.html

But there've been days when it's been just like that, but Kerry led.

[Verily]

Hey, look at ElectoralVote from this day in 2004.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/Pres/Maps/Sep18.html

But there've been days when it's been just like that, but Kerry led.

Not at this point in the year. Kerry's last 300-point EV total on Electoral-vote.com was before the RNC, and he only led about a fifth of the time between the RNC and election day.

Of course, McCain leads on Electoral-vote.com now (and has for about a week), so that doesn't mean much.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hey, look at ElectoralVote from this day in 2004.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/Pres/Maps/Sep18.html

But there've been days when it's been just like that, but Kerry led.

I don't remember McCain ever being up 4 points in NJ.

[Brittain33]

NJ hated Bush.

In 2004, "he kept us safe." I have vivid memories of my relatives making that apologia to me at Thanksgiving, since I'd gotten gay-married two months earlier and they didn't connect their votes for Bush to the defeat of the gays that many others took his election for (with some justification in other parts of the country.)