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Author Topic: FL: Survey USA: Obama leads  (Read 4190 times)
ChrisFromNJ
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« on: November 03, 2008, 11:08:32 pm »
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http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ed8485a2-f519-4a47-be10-1d76de953b29

Obama: 50 (+3)
McCain: 47 (-2)
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 11:16:18 pm »
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I think FL will vote for McCain, since Kerry underperformed polls in '04 by a few points.  It will be very narrow, though.
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 11:24:35 pm »
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SUSA may be right, but they suck at FL polling (I said this when McCain was ahead in the poll, btw).
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 11:34:41 pm »
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The undecideds are 3% here; on Rasmussen they are 1%.  This might be a Bradley Effect state.  That will be something to look for.
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J. J.

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Lunar
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 11:37:52 pm »
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that will be my favorite part of tomorrow.   That ending.

SUSA is erratic, I give it a bit less to Obama.
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J. J.
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2008, 12:03:54 am »
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Quote from: Lunar on November 03, 2008, 11:37:52 pm


that will be my favorite part of tomorrow.   That ending.

SUSA is erratic, I give it a bit less to Obama.

No, I'm looking for an actual measurement of it, ex post facto.  We have one state where the polls are around the MOE, FL.  One state where the polls trend slightly to Obama, VA.  A couple of large leads, CA and MA.  And then there is PA.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
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"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Lunar
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2008, 12:06:57 am »
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And pray tell, how will you differentiate the pro-Obama bias from the pro-Black bias?
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RuhanS
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2008, 01:10:25 pm »
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wow.. they were spot on at the end!
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J. J.
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2008, 09:30:32 am »
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Quote from: Lunar on November 04, 2008, 12:06:57 am
And pray tell, how will you differentiate the pro-Obama bias from the pro-Black bias?




If there had been a difference, it would be to look at a lot of polls in FL and look at the margins and look at the results in many states.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
War on Want
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« Reply #9 on: July 06, 2009, 05:56:47 pm »
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Quote from: J. J. on November 03, 2008, 11:34:41 pm
The undecideds are 3% here; on Rasmussen they are 1%.  This might be a Bradley Effect state.  That will be something to look for.
lol
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« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2009, 04:31:45 am »
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Quote from: Karma Police on July 06, 2009, 05:56:47 pm
Quote from: J. J. on November 03, 2008, 11:34:41 pm
The undecideds are 3% here; on Rasmussen they are 1%.  This might be a Bradley Effect state.  That will be something to look for.
lol

No, lol:

Quote from: J. J. on November 06, 2008, 09:30:32 am
Quote from: Lunar on November 04, 2008, 12:06:57 am
And pray tell, how will you differentiate the pro-Obama bias from the pro-Black bias?




If there had been a difference, it would be to look at a lot of polls in FL and look at the margins and look at the results in many states.

Although, to be fair, he did look at many states; i.e., the ones that agreed with his thesis.

Edit: Oh, wow this is old.  Let's give him a break, then
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