Obama's going to perform about as well as Rice in OK? I don't think so. Anyway, here's the continued post...
CONTINUED POSTTaking into account the usual R2000 D+2 bias that Vorlon talked about:
ID: McCain by 29 (9-16 to 17) (Sam Spade sez M+30.50)
KY: McCain by 18 (9-15 to 17) (Sam Spade sez M+20.00)
ND: McCain by 13 (9-16 to 17) (Sam Spade sez M+11.00)
AK: McCain by 17 (9-16 to 17) (Sam Spade sez M+26.50 - a little off here, but I may have based too much in my changes on the Palin swing in Ras, so there.
)
MO: McCain by 4 (9-15 to 18) (Sam Spade sez M+6.00)
OK: McCain by 23 (9-16 to 18) (Sam Spade sez M+31.00)