MD: Rasmussen: Obama 60, McCain 37

[ag]

Approaching 60% in MD, NY, CA, IL, VT, CT and Iowa? He could very well lose the EC and win the PV if this pattern continues.

The problem is, McCain has his own share of "close to 60" states. The latest poll from TX is McCain 57%, GA - 57%, TN - 59%, KY - 57%, AZ - 56%, SC - 58%, AL - 60%, OK - 59%, NE - 60%, UT - 65%, WY - 66%, ID - 62%. So, if anything, it could go eiter way

[ag]

Approaching 60% in MD, NY, CA, IL, VT, CT and Iowa? He could very well lose the EC and win the PV if this pattern continues.

The problem is, McCain has his own share of "close to 60" states. The latest poll from TX is McCain 57%, GA - 57%, TN - 59%, KY - 57%, AZ - 56%, SC - 58%, AL - 60%, OK - 59%, NE - 60%, UT - 65%, WY - 66%, ID - 62%. So, if anything, it could go eiter way

But places like Wyoming and Idaho have next to no population, while NY, CA and IL are among the biggest in the nation. Furthermore, if you compare to "traditional" results Obama seems to have gained disproportionately among safe states on either side. But I still  expect the popular vote and electoral vote to match each other more or less. If they split, I think Obama is more likely to win the PV and lose the EV though.

VT and RI are hardly giants, and TX is no minnow Overall, the states I've listed as "overwhelming McCain" have 119 EV, the states Duke listed as "overwhelming Obama" have 110 EV (117 EV if you add equally safe HI and DE)
hardly much of a difference

Obama is, actually, doing miserably in recently safe Republican states (w/ a couple of notorious exceptions, like North Carolina).