MA: Survey USA: Obama Leads MA by 16%
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Author Topic: MA: Survey USA: Obama Leads MA by 16%  (Read 922 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« on: September 24, 2008, 10:35:11 PM »
New Poll: Massachusetts President by Survey USA on 2008-09-24

Summary: D: 55%, R: 39%, I: 3%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

McCain 39%

Obama 55%

Other 3%

Undecided 2%
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Sbane
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2008, 10:39:54 PM »
Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2008, 10:59:02 PM »
Quote from: sbane on September 24, 2008, 10:39:54 PM
Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2008, 11:08:18 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on September 24, 2008, 10:59:02 PM
Quote from: sbane on September 24, 2008, 10:39:54 PM
Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.

If McCain gets over 40% of the vote, which it looks like will happen, he will win a county or two. Most polls coming out of MA have him at 38-39%.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2008, 11:11:06 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on September 24, 2008, 10:59:02 PM
Quote from: sbane on September 24, 2008, 10:39:54 PM
Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.

barnstable would be more likely than plymouth to go mccain.

that being said, i dont think mccain will win any mass county.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2008, 11:14:42 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on September 24, 2008, 11:11:06 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on September 24, 2008, 10:59:02 PM
Quote from: sbane on September 24, 2008, 10:39:54 PM
Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.

barnstable would be more likely than plymouth to go mccain.

that being said, i dont think mccain will win any mass county.

Why so?  Plymouth is trending Republican while Barnstable is not, and Kerry won Barnstable by a larger margin.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2008, 11:21:30 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on September 24, 2008, 11:14:42 PM
Quote from: WalterMitty on September 24, 2008, 11:11:06 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on September 24, 2008, 10:59:02 PM
Quote from: sbane on September 24, 2008, 10:39:54 PM
Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.

barnstable would be more likely than plymouth to go mccain.

that being said, i dont think mccain will win any mass county.

Why so?  Plymouth is trending Republican while Barnstable is not, and Kerry won Barnstable by a larger margin.


demographics.

the cape has a much older citizenry.  a demo that is more inclined to fellow oldster mccain.

also, plymouth county is largely suburban.  obama seems to be a better-than-average democrat candidate for suburbia.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2008, 10:27:21 AM »
Republican 17% (17%): McCain 88% (86%); Obama 10% (12%)

Democrat 44% (40%): McCain 11% (18%); Obama 85% (76%)

Independent 37% (41%): McCain 50% (43%); Obama 41% (47%)

Conservative 21% (22%): McCain 75% (76%); Obama 20% (20%)

Moderate 40% (44%): McCain 43% (38%); Obama 51% (55%)

Liberal 23% (26%): McCain 11% (16%); Obama 86% (78%)

(denotes SUSA, Jun. 25-27, 2008)
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