Sam Spade Swing State Analysis - 9/26 (updated 10/21) (user search)
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  Sam Spade Swing State Analysis - 9/26 (updated 10/21) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sam Spade Swing State Analysis - 9/26 (updated 10/21)  (Read 3327 times)
Torie
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Posts: 46,055
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: September 26, 2008, 05:00:14 PM »

Good job Sam. The partisan biases of the state vis a vis the nation have not changed much at all over time it seems, except that Colorado has moved to the Dems - which is very potentially a fatal move for McCain, putting him at risk he will win the popular vote but lose the EV.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,055
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2008, 07:55:41 PM »

Good job Sam. The partisan biases of the state vis a vis the nation have not changed much at all over time it seems, except that Colorado has moved to the Dems - which is very potentially a fatal move for McCain, putting him at risk he will win the popular vote but lose the EV.

The possibility of a PV-EV tie, considering the way NH has been acting, is a more distinct scenario than I thought it was a few weeks ago.

Ties go to Obama. Sad
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,055
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2008, 07:59:58 PM »

Or a faithless elector. I don't believe that SD congresswoman will vote for McCain - no way.
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