Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Tracking Poll Thread
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Author Topic: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 27639 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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« on: September 29, 2008, 01:50:46 PM »
Beginning with today's numbers, which are also posted in a thread below. Since there will be new results every day for over a month for this poll, we probably shouldn't crowd the forum discussing it. No request for a sticky, though.

Monday, September 29, 2008

Obama - 49 (+1)
McCain - 42 (nc)

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_9_29.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2008, 02:00:33 PM »
Wonderful news.

Their last 2004 had Kerry up 2, which was quite accurate.

They underestimated Casey by 10 in 2006 and the Republican in the Governor race by 5 though.

I´m in favor of stickying.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2008, 01:28:27 PM »
Today:

Obama: 49% (nc)
McCain: 41 (-1)
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2008, 04:26:30 PM »
Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_sept30.pdf

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Obama - 49 (nc)
McCain - 41 (-1)
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2008, 06:31:03 PM »
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTkqosRiyYo
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2008, 10:22:21 PM »
Database entry: http://www.uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=4220080929033
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Lunar
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« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2008, 10:25:37 PM »
Are you going to add it every day?

I don't know how I feel about this poll, haha.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #7 on: September 30, 2008, 10:51:02 PM »
I don't think it should be added every day; maybe once every four days so all the data is new? We don't want the Pennsylvania data getting clogged with Muhlenberg polls.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2008, 12:16:05 PM »
Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_01.pdf

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Obama - 48 (-1)
McCain - 41 (nc)
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2008, 03:47:41 PM »
Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_02.pdf

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Obama - 50 (+2)
McCain - 41 (nc)


All the way down to page three simply because I hadn't updated yet today! (Although I see that someone had added this poll to the database.) Maybe we do need a sticky.
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memphis
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2008, 04:46:15 PM »
Time for McCain to pull out of PA. He needs to focus on CO and VA where he has a chance.
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Lunar
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2008, 05:18:46 PM »
Quote from: memphis on October 02, 2008, 04:46:15 PM
Time for McCain to pull out of PA. He needs to focus on CO and VA where he has a chance.

Don't be silly, he has invested more money in PA than any other state and Rasmussen has him down 5-7% nationally.  If McCain were to get down to a 50-50 scenario, it's possible that he would gain disproportionately in Pennsylvania than other states, depending on demographics, that might not be a crazy assumption.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2008, 01:04:11 PM »
Friday - October 3, 2008:

Obama - 50 (nc)
McCain - 40 (-1)
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2008, 03:01:13 PM »
Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_03.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2008, 08:06:31 AM »
Saturday - October 4, 2008:

Obama - 51 (+1)
McCain - 39 (-1)

Time for McCain to abandon PA ... Wink
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J. J.
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2008, 08:11:26 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 04, 2008, 08:06:31 AM
Saturday - October 4, 2008:

Obama - 51 (+1)
McCain - 39 (-1)

Time for McCain to abandon PA ... Wink

Not based on a Muhlenberg poll.
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Rowan
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« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2008, 09:46:13 AM »
Does anyone actually give any credibility to this poll?
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2008, 10:01:21 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on October 04, 2008, 09:46:13 AM
Does anyone actually give any credibility to this poll?

The weightings may be suspect, but this poll shows that Obama is gaining ground in Pennsylvania by the day, and I will take that data at face value.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2008, 10:08:20 PM »
Can you imagine Phil's reaction if McCain actually did abandon PA? LOL.
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J. J.
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2008, 10:13:39 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on October 04, 2008, 09:46:13 AM
Does anyone actually give any credibility to this poll?

If this was a Franklin and Marshall poll, I'd give it a great deal of weight.  Other uni polls for PA, I'd give very little weight.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2008, 10:42:39 PM »
Quote from: Nothing has meaning. Nothing but you. on October 04, 2008, 10:08:20 PM
Can you imagine Phil's reaction if McCain actually did abandon PA? LOL.

LOL YA!
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2008, 03:53:47 AM »
Very cool. Why did I only now notice this?

Did any other pollster nail PA in 2004?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2008, 01:18:32 PM »
Today, via RCP:

Obama - 50%
McCain - 40%
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2008, 01:27:13 PM »
McCainOMentum!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2008, 12:09:46 PM »

No.

Monday, October 6:

Obama: 49 (-1)
Mccain: 38 (-2)
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