Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Tracking Poll Thread

[Verily]

Beginning with today's numbers, which are also posted in a thread below. Since there will be new results every day for over a month for this poll, we probably shouldn't crowd the forum discussing it. No request for a sticky, though.

Monday, September 29, 2008

Obama - 49 (+1)
McCain - 42 (nc)

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_9_29.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Wonderful news.

Their last 2004 had Kerry up 2, which was quite accurate.

They underestimated Casey by 10 in 2006 and the Republican in the Governor race by 5 though.

I´m in favor of stickying.

[Tender Branson]

Today:

Obama: 49% (nc)
McCain: 41 (-1)

[Verily]

Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_sept30.pdf

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Obama - 49 (nc)
McCain - 41 (-1)

[Kalimantan]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTkqosRiyYo

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Database entry: http://www.uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=4220080929033

[Lunar]

Are you going to add it every day?

I don't know how I feel about this poll, haha.

[Verily]

I don't think it should be added every day; maybe once every four days so all the data is new? We don't want the Pennsylvania data getting clogged with Muhlenberg polls.

[Verily]

Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_01.pdf

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Obama - 48 (-1)
McCain - 41 (nc)

[Verily]

Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_02.pdf

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Obama - 50 (+2)
McCain - 41 (nc)


All the way down to page three simply because I hadn't updated yet today! (Although I see that someone had added this poll to the database.) Maybe we do need a sticky.

[memphis]

Time for McCain to pull out of PA. He needs to focus on CO and VA where he has a chance.

[Lunar]

Time for McCain to pull out of PA. He needs to focus on CO and VA where he has a chance.

Don't be silly, he has invested more money in PA than any other state and Rasmussen has him down 5-7% nationally.  If McCain were to get down to a 50-50 scenario, it's possible that he would gain disproportionately in Pennsylvania than other states, depending on demographics, that might not be a crazy assumption.

[Tender Branson]

Friday - October 3, 2008:

Obama - 50 (nc)
McCain - 40 (-1)

[Verily]

Link to today's release: http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_03.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Saturday - October 4, 2008:

Obama - 51 (+1)
McCain - 39 (-1)

Time for McCain to abandon PA ...

[J. J.]

Saturday - October 4, 2008:

Obama - 51 (+1)
McCain - 39 (-1)

Time for McCain to abandon PA ...

Not based on a Muhlenberg poll.

[Rowan]

Does anyone actually give any credibility to this poll?

[ChrisFromNJ]

Does anyone actually give any credibility to this poll?

The weightings may be suspect, but this poll shows that Obama is gaining ground in Pennsylvania by the day, and I will take that data at face value.

[Wrecking Ball and Chain]

Can you imagine Phil's reaction if McCain actually did abandon PA? LOL.

[J. J.]

Does anyone actually give any credibility to this poll?

If this was a Franklin and Marshall poll, I'd give it a great deal of weight.  Other uni polls for PA, I'd give very little weight.

[Keystone Phil]

Can you imagine Phil's reaction if McCain actually did abandon PA? LOL.

LOL YA!

[Vasall des Midas]

Very cool. Why did I only now notice this?

Did any other pollster nail PA in 2004?

[Tender Branson]

Today, via RCP:

Obama - 50%
McCain - 40%

[Rowan]

McCainOMentum!

[Tender Branson]

McCainOMentum!

No.

Monday, October 6:

Obama: 49 (-1)
Mccain: 38 (-2)