Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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  Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Tracking Poll Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 27723 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: September 29, 2008, 02:00:33 PM »

Wonderful news.

Their last 2004 had Kerry up 2, which was quite accurate.

They underestimated Casey by 10 in 2006 and the Republican in the Governor race by 5 though.

I´m in favor of stickying.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2008, 01:28:27 PM »

Today:

Obama: 49% (nc)
McCain: 41 (-1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2008, 01:04:11 PM »

Friday - October 3, 2008:

Obama - 50 (nc)
McCain - 40 (-1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2008, 08:06:31 AM »

Saturday - October 4, 2008:

Obama - 51 (+1)
McCain - 39 (-1)

Time for McCain to abandon PA ... Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2008, 01:18:32 PM »

Today, via RCP:

Obama - 50%
McCain - 40%
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2008, 12:09:46 PM »


No.

Monday, October 6:

Obama: 49 (-1)
Mccain: 38 (-2)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2008, 12:26:56 PM »

If McCain had any brains at all he would pull out of PA immediately

I don't care. Let him continue his long road to ruin there. May the RNC sink another 20 Mio. in there and remain 10% behind ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2008, 03:10:49 AM »

The news is that Obama has taken a 12-point PA lead in today's Muhlenberg tracking release, which would be 2 points better than yesterday.

http://www.mcall.com/news/local/all-a1_5visit.6620097oct08,0,4733508.story
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2008, 12:51:09 PM »

Thursday, October 9:

Obama - 51% (+1)
McCain - 38% (nc)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2008, 12:05:55 PM »

Friday, October 10:

Obama - 50% (-1)
McCain - 39% (+1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2008, 12:20:29 AM »

Anyway:

Saturday, October 11:

Obama - 52 (+2)
McCain - 40 (+1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2008, 01:10:56 PM »

Sunday, October 12:

Obama 51 (-1)
McCain 39 (-1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2008, 01:30:52 PM »

Monday, October 13:

Obama 51 (nc)
McCain 38 (-1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2008, 11:16:05 AM »

Where you getting this information from?  I do not see it on Muhlenberg's site.  Last day available is Oct8.

http://www.politickerpa.com/danh/2134/muhlenberg-tracking-poll-obama-14

Wednesday, October 15

Obama 52 (+1)
McCain 38 (nc)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2008, 01:37:56 PM »

Chart:

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2008, 02:10:09 PM »

McCain will certainly get at least 45% of the vote here.

And you know this because ... ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2008, 01:01:04 PM »

Friday, October 17

Obama: 53 (nc)
McCain: 39 (+2)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2008, 11:27:10 AM »

Saturday-October 18, 2008
Obama 52%(-1)
McCain 39%(nc)

MCSurge is slowing, but it could still be a tied race the weekend before the election ... Wink Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2008, 07:18:27 AM »

Sunday - October 19, 2008

Obama 52% (nc)
McCain 40% (+1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #19 on: October 20, 2008, 12:40:43 PM »

Monday - October 20, 2008

Obama 53% (+1)
McCain 41% (+1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #20 on: October 21, 2008, 12:53:44 PM »

Man, PA is tightening pretty rapidely !

But wake me up when McCain's down to 6 and I´ll be worried ... Tongue Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2008, 08:05:31 AM »

McSurge is over. Or a few very pro-Obama samples are now out ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2008, 09:24:25 AM »

"The McCain campaign is increasingly banking on a win in Pennsylvania, even though Senator Obama has a double-digit lead in recent polls there:

Mr. McCain’s strategists insisted that the state and its 21 electoral votes were within reach and crucial to what they acknowledge is an increasingly narrow path to victory. They say that their own polls show Mr. McCain only seven or eight percentage points behind Mr. Obama. (The state polls that show Mr. Obama with a double-digit lead, all conducted in recent weeks, include surveys by Marist, Quinnipiac, Rasmussen, SurveyUSA and The Allentown Morning Call.)

Mr. McCain’s strategists argue that their candidate has a dual appeal: to the pro-gun working-class voters in the western coal country, many of whom supported Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York in the Democratic primary, and to independents and moderates in the swing counties around Philadelphia."

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/22/the-early-word-the-ad-wars/
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2008, 12:36:20 PM »

Friday - October 24, 2008

Obama 52% (nc)
McCain 40% (-2)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2008, 11:52:09 AM »

Saturday - October 25, 2008

Obama 52% (nc)
McCain 41% (+1)

Obama will return to PA on Monday & Tuesday to campaign and keep his double-digit lead.
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