Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 05, 2015, 01:45:36 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2008 Elections
| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
| | | |-+  What will be the closest state this year, Part III
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Poll
Question: ...
New Hampshire   -0 (0%)
Pennsylvania   -1 (1.4%)
Ohio   -6 (8.7%)
Virginia   -10 (14.5%)
North Carolina   -10 (14.5%)
Florida   -3 (4.3%)
Missouri   -17 (24.6%)
Iowa   -0 (0%)
Wisconsin   -0 (0%)
Michigan   -0 (0%)
Indiana   -7 (10.1%)
Colorado   -2 (2.9%)
New Mexico   -1 (1.4%)
Nevada   -9 (13%)
Other   -3 (4.3%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: What will be the closest state this year, Part III  (Read 6919 times)
Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13699


View Profile
« Reply #25 on: October 11, 2008, 07:18:28 pm »
Ignore

OH or FL. I suspect OH falls slightly to Obama while MCcain wins Florida slightly. This is with about a 4 point win for Obama.
Logged
Punditty
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 72


View Profile WWW
« Reply #26 on: October 11, 2008, 09:07:35 pm »
Ignore

Last time, I thought Florida. Now I think Obama has Florida barring something major.

This time, I'm going with Indiana although North Carolina could be right there, with Georgia as a "surprise" battleground state. Missouri will break one way or the other near the end (as Missouri often does) and won't be as nail-bitingly close as people think. Expect mischief and accusations around the St. Louis vote, as always, which is usually reported late and has erased many GOP slim statewide margins over the years.

But I don't think MO will be close enough for that to matter.  If I had to guess now, I'd say it will end up about 50-47.5 Obama with Barr/Nader/other getting 2.5 percent.

Very interesting thread.
Logged

Happy  Campaign 2012,

Punditty
http://www.allvoices.com/users/Punditty
muon2
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9295


View Profile
« Reply #27 on: October 11, 2008, 11:09:10 pm »
Ignore

I've picked MO in all the polls, if consistency counts for anything.
Logged


Triple transit of Jupiter on January 24, 2015 with shadows of Europa, Callisto, and Io appearing from left to right. Image captured from Bate Papo Estelar/Astronomio ao Vivo (Brazil) live feed.
I left my heart in the back of the cab
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 73714
France


View Profile
« Reply #28 on: October 11, 2008, 11:17:34 pm »
Ignore

North Carolina
Logged

Vsanto5
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 295
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: 3.23

View Profile WWW
« Reply #29 on: October 12, 2008, 01:56:30 am »
Ignore

Virginia.
Logged
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21534
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #30 on: October 12, 2008, 11:13:22 pm »
Ignore

Sheer vote number, NM; percentage-wise, Florida.
Logged

elcorazon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2213


View Profile
« Reply #31 on: October 12, 2008, 11:16:59 pm »
Ignore

Nevada.

Logged


"The most important thing to remember is, no matter what anybody tells you, it is never, ever unpatriotic or un-American to question anything in a democracy"
Warner for President '16
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30771
United States


View Profile
« Reply #32 on: October 26, 2008, 11:18:52 am »
Ignore

Bump.  Anyone else?
Logged

Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
only back for the worldcup
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58759
India


View Profile
« Reply #33 on: October 26, 2008, 11:26:32 am »
Ignore

Sheer vote number? North Dakota. Vote margin? Whatever. Florida, Ohio, North Carolina.
Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Frodo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14010
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #34 on: October 26, 2008, 04:05:21 pm »
Ignore

I am torn between Virginia and North Carolina. 
Logged

NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 942
United States


View Profile
« Reply #35 on: October 26, 2008, 04:27:10 pm »
Ignore

I voted NM last time on this poll....

Now I would have to say NC, followed by MO, and then IN.

I suspect the race will tighten up by 1-2 points, and considering early voting and ground game for Obama that NC will be the closest by percentage.
Logged
LanceMcSteel
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 358


View Profile
« Reply #36 on: October 26, 2008, 10:57:26 pm »
Ignore

IN.

Obama will win by .5%
Logged
Daniel Z
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 789
Switzerland


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: -5.91

View Profile
« Reply #37 on: October 27, 2008, 02:01:51 am »
Ignore

Top three: Missouri, Florida, North Carolina.
Logged

Praying for a good economy
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 35895
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #38 on: October 27, 2008, 02:04:12 am »
Ignore

Voted Missouri.
Logged

     RIP, Leonard.
mack
Newbie
*
Posts: 11
United States


View Profile
« Reply #39 on: October 27, 2008, 03:15:43 pm »
Ignore

Missouri.
Logged
I Can't Believe It's Not Murder!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12916


View Profile
« Reply #40 on: October 27, 2008, 09:35:36 pm »
Ignore

I think Misery will be the closest when it breaks for John McCain and when it does, it won't matter.

If I had to guess a week out- this is what I am looking for-

National - 51.1-47.1-1.8

Big Three
Ohio - 51-48-1
Florida- 50-48-2
Pennsylvania- 53-45-2

The Upper "South" 
Indiana- 47-52-1
Missouri- 48.8-49.1-2.1
Virginia- 51-47-2
North Carolina- 48-50-2
Georgia-  45-54-1
West Virginia- 42-55-3

The New West
New Mexico- 52-46-2
Colorado- 51-47-2
Montana- 44-53-3
North Dakota- 46-53-1
Nevada- 50-47-3
Arizona-  46-52-2

Logged


Effective policing requires to know when backing down is in the best interest of public safety.  By all accounts, the culture of the Ferguson Police was ignorant of that fact, and instead treated Cartman of South Park as a role model for how to be a police officer.
elcorazon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2213


View Profile
« Reply #41 on: October 27, 2008, 10:41:14 pm »
Ignore

I'm starting to think it might be Indiana.
Logged


"The most important thing to remember is, no matter what anybody tells you, it is never, ever unpatriotic or un-American to question anything in a democracy"
Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14919
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #42 on: October 28, 2008, 12:06:42 am »
Ignore

Missouri
North Carolina
Indiana
Nevada
Logged


Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines