ol' virginny

[WalterMitty]

no.

[Keystone Phil]

No but I have it as a definite lean Obama state.

[Alcon]

They're under-funding it, which makes me wonder if they've given up on it being a tipping-point state...

...which makes no sense at all.

But, no.

[Smash255]

Done? no, but he is in a ton of trouble.

[Torie]

They're under-funding it, which makes me wonder if they've given up on it being a tipping-point state...

...which makes no sense at all.

But, no.

Team McCain might have decided that there are not that many swing voters in NOVA who will be swayed by advertising to make it worth spending money in that media market, most of which will be spent on DC and Maryland.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     No, though it's Obama advantage now.

[Nym90]

No but I have it as a definite lean Obama state.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I think the bigger question is if McCain is done in the Old North State. Josh22 was right. What a horrible world this is!

[Lief 🗽]

McCain is done as long as Obama continues to lead by 8 points, in Virginia, in Ohio, in Colorado, even in North Carolina and Florida now. If this race reverts back to a tie, then Virginia is a 50-50 tossup, as it was throughout July, August and early September.

[Ronnie]

Yes.

[kevinatcausa]

If the race coasts to a conclusion, perhaps.  But there's no guarantee that the race is going to stay stagnant. 

If McCain takes Virginia, it will be because of shift in the focus of the campaign (e.g. something new comes up which casts fresh doubt on Obama's character, or which shifts the focus of voters away from Economic issues and towards non-Iraq foreign policy issues) which causes a nationwide shift of voters back towards McCain from Obama. 

McCain seems to be trying for this now with his comments about Ayers and Palin's references to Reverend Wright.  If he succeeds, I see no reason why he can't take Virginia.