VA: SurveyUSA: Obama 53, McCain 43
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Author Topic: VA: SurveyUSA: Obama 53, McCain 43  (Read 5155 times)
The Ex-Factor
xfactor99
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« on: October 06, 2008, 11:34:55 AM »
« edited: October 06, 2008, 11:39:09 AM by xfactor99 »
New Poll: Virginia President by Survey USA on 2008-10-05

Summary: D: 53%, R: 43%, I: 3%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Topline Numbers

Obama 53%

McCain 43%

Other 3%

Not Sure 1%

There's also a new Suffolk poll at Pollster showing it Obama 51, McCain 39 but I can't find an actual link at the moment.

edit: but Tender Branson can, his thread.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2008, 11:35:36 AM »
Smiley

Holy Sh*t !
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2008, 11:36:01 AM »
We're dead.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2008, 11:36:33 AM »
Wake me up in 2012.  Thanks.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2008, 11:37:18 AM »
It's so beautiful. This election is quickly turning into 1980.
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Lunar
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2008, 11:40:13 AM »
I don't buy that it's this high, since SUSA has a tendency to exaggerate extremes, but it's good news considering McCain has ceased running ads in the state's most populous region...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2008, 11:45:58 AM »
I thought they would include an "Early voter" option, just like they did in their last GA poll ... Sad
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2008, 11:46:16 AM »
Huh...

I'll wait for Rasmussen...
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2008, 11:46:28 AM »
Database entry; https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=5120081005019
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JohnCA246
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2008, 11:48:25 AM »
...good god
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2008, 11:50:37 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 06, 2008, 11:49:45 AM
Quote from: Governor Lief on October 06, 2008, 11:47:46 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 06, 2008, 11:45:58 AM
I thought they would include an "Early voter" option, just like they did in their last GA poll ... Sad
I don't think VA early voting has started yet. Registration ends today, and I would assume that the two don't overlap.

As far as I know early voting in VA has started more than 2 weeks ago ...
Yeah, you're right. Deleted my dumb post. Tongue
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Kevin
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2008, 11:54:30 AM »
Although it's very close here and Obama may very well be ahead, it's not by the margin depicted here by SurveyUSA.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2008, 11:55:56 AM »
Obama's probably up by 4-6 points in VA at the moment, assuming that the trackers are correct and he's at 7-8 points nationally.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2008, 11:58:15 AM »
What exactly was Jimmy Wilder's margin 1 month before he won the VA governorship in a close election ?
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Rowan
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2008, 11:58:50 AM »
Quote from: Governor Lief on October 06, 2008, 11:55:56 AM
Obama's probably up by 4-6 points in VA at the moment, assuming that the trackers are correct and he's at 7-8 points nationally.

I'll keep faith in the M-D poll. Blind faith probably.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2008, 12:01:47 PM »
I doubt it's that high. I don't doubt hes leading though.
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Aizen
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« Reply #16 on: October 06, 2008, 12:03:16 PM »
Virginia is a state where McCain has really collapsed. We've been seeing that trend for a couple of weeks now.

But let's wait for Rasmussen
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2008, 12:04:49 PM »
In honor of Opebo, "Good lord man!"
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RJ
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« Reply #18 on: October 06, 2008, 12:09:03 PM »
It would really be something if Obama can take VA and NC. Not even Clinton took either one of these two. VA is looking really good for him right now but NC I'm anything but sold on.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #19 on: October 06, 2008, 12:10:20 PM »
Quote from: Governor Lief on October 06, 2008, 11:37:18 AM
It's so beautiful. This election is quickly turning into 1980.
Not 1984? j/k.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #20 on: October 06, 2008, 12:11:44 PM »
Quote from: RJ on October 06, 2008, 12:09:03 PM
It would really be something if Obama can take VA and NC. Not even Clinton took either one of these two. VA is looking really good for him right now but NC I'm anything but sold on.

times change. Neither of those states is the same state it was 16 years ago.
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #21 on: October 06, 2008, 12:23:24 PM »
This poll is a joke.

Internals:

GOP 30
Dem 39
Ind 25

Even more LOL:

18-34 23%
35-49 35%   
50-64 25%
65+ 17%
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kevinatcausa
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« Reply #22 on: October 06, 2008, 12:37:21 PM »
For comparison, the 2006 Exit Poll showed only 14% of the voters as being 65+ (18-34 isn't listed directly, but 18-29 plus a third of the 30-44 group gives 21%). 

The party ID is off from the poll and may be a warning sign, but I have no idea how much the party identification has changed in the last couple of years in Virginia. 
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #23 on: October 06, 2008, 12:41:19 PM »
Uh huh...
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2008, 12:50:50 PM »
I' am still waiting for M-D to do another poll of this state.  So far I have it Obama +1.
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