Polls I actually trust:
Gallup - Bush +7
Ipsos - Bush +5
Opinion Dynamics - +4
Democracy Corps - Bush +3
TIPP - Tied
Toss out the high and the low...
Average = Bush +4
Seems about right to me.
These +11 and +12 things were.... interesting....
While I definitely agree with you about Gallup, and ISPOS, and still have a lot of respect for Opinion Dynamics, Democracy Corps and TIPP are definitely second tier firms.
I would like to see the demographis of the TIPP poll cited.
Also, haven't seen recent Mason-Dixon polls.