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| | |-+  What is the largest come from behing Presidential victory?
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Author Topic: What is the largest come from behing Presidential victory?  (Read 8388 times)
oneworldunited
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« on: October 08, 2008, 01:50:27 pm »
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I am just curious, what is the largest come from behind victory in a presidential election?  Using polling data if McCain is behind by 11 points with 28 days to go, is it even possible for him to still win?  Has anyone ever come back from such a deficit with so few days to go?

thanks,
Bobby
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2008, 02:26:19 pm »
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In 2000, Gore was trailing by 13 in late October and still managed to win the Election.

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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2008, 02:28:23 pm »
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Gallup's tracker sucked in the past.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2008, 05:36:09 pm »
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Now all John McCain needs is a last minute revelation that Obama has a DUI in his past.
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Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2008, 05:54:56 pm »
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Are there any running polling averages, along the lines of RCP or pollster.com, for presidential elections before 2004?  I mean, yes, you can find them for individual pollsters like Gallup, but what about running averages of all the polls?

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12th Doctor
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2008, 06:31:55 pm »
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Its not a "victory" but in August 1976, Ford trailed Carter in the polls by 32 points.  On election day, he only trailed by 2.
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2008, 03:55:07 pm »
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Probably Truman in '48.
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« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2008, 06:31:55 pm »
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Im pretty sure Hubert Humpherey was behind by around 10 at this time in 1968 and pulled even by election day. 
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2008, 09:19:40 pm »
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In 2000, Gore was trailing by 13 in late October and still managed to win the Election.

I garuntee you Gore wasn't really trailing by 13. three is more like it. Polling was exceptionally erratic that year.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2008, 07:56:34 pm »
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Now all John McCain needs is a last minute revelation that Obama has a DUI in his past.
Whitey tape will do just fine Wink
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Gov. Christopher J. Christie
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2008, 07:59:15 pm »
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Truman '48 more than likely
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razze
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« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2017, 06:20:56 pm »
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Trump.
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Delegate JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #12 on: March 27, 2017, 02:23:32 pm »
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Bump.
ftfy
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« Reply #13 on: March 27, 2017, 05:02:12 pm »
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Truman
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« Reply #14 on: March 28, 2017, 07:17:23 am »
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The ones that began with "Trum".
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: March 28, 2017, 01:35:32 pm »
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Not a few days but Dukakis led Poppy Bush in August 1988 by 17 points or so and managed to lose the election by eight points.

Not a win, but noteworthy: Jimmy Carter led Gerald Ford in the polls by 30 points in August 1976. By election day, it was dead heat and Carter only barely won the race by two points.
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