Non-Gallup/Rasmussen tracking polls thread

[Zarn]

Define Republican, Democratic, and Independent.

Is it people registered or the way they see themselves on a ideological level?

Also, are people telling the truth?

[Zarn]

Why don't you cross out the DailyKos poll?

[Zarn]

Respected by who?

[Zarn]

JJ and I conducted a national poll three days into the future.

Results

McCain 50%
Obama 25%
Undecided 25%

"Internals"

Republican 25%
Democratic 37.5%
"Independent" 37.5%

Men 50%
Women 50%

Other questions:

Do you like Tom Cruise?
Likes Tom Cruise 37.5%
Doesn't like Tom Cruise 50%
Not sure 12.5%

Are you alive or dead?
Alive 75%
Dead 12.5%
Not sure 12.5%

Is disco dead?
Yes 87.5%
No 0%
Not sure 12.5%

We asked 8 adults, who all claimed they were registered or were getting around to it.

We have internals, and are a respected polling institution.

[Zarn]

Friday October 17

Research 2000 / DailyKos

Obama 52 (nc)
McCain 42 (+1)

But whats INTERESTING is that Thursday's sample is McCain's best for ages, O+6, compared to  O+12 and O+10 in the two previous days, suggesting the debate may have been good for McCain.

Unfortunately for JJ, he's not allowed to discuss this result, so perhaps he can talk about Hotline instead:

Friday October 17

Diageo / Hotline

Obama 50 (+1)
McCain 40 (-1)

This is just further proof that DailyKos is still way out there. They have McCain narrowing the gap, yet he is still way behind. Rasmussen disagrees completely.

[Zarn]

This is just further proof that DailyKos is still way out there. They have McCain narrowing the gap, yet he is still way behind. Rasmussen disagrees completely.

Yes, R2K is at the extreme in terms of the overall result.

Any sane person looks at trends in tracking polls. As you can see, the trend in the R2K tracker is the same as in the other polls. So no, Rasmussen does not disagree completely.

They don't always go in the same direction. Trends aren't worth much at all. Even the more accurate results need a grain of salt.

[Zarn]

JJ and I conducted a national poll three days into the future.

Results

McCain 50%
Obama 25%
Undecided 25%

"Internals"

Republican 25%
Democratic 37.5%
"Independent" 37.5%

Men 50%
Women 50%

Other questions:

Do you like Tom Cruise?
Likes Tom Cruise 37.5%
Doesn't like Tom Cruise 50%
Not sure 12.5%

Are you alive or dead?
Alive 75%
Dead 12.5%
Not sure 12.5%

Is disco dead?
Yes 87.5%
No 0%
Not sure 12.5%

We asked 8 adults, who all claimed they were registered or were getting around to it.

We have internals, and are a respected polling institution.

I don't understand your post. You claimed in another thread you were objective, and then you write this kind of crap. Why don't you save your posts until you have something constructive to add.

I'm sorry, but people just don't like Tom Cruise as much as you think.

[Zarn]

JJ and I conducted a national poll three days into the future.

Results

McCain 50%
Obama 25%
Undecided 25%

"Internals"

Republican 25%
Democratic 37.5%
"Independent" 37.5%

Men 50%
Women 50%

Other questions:

Do you like Tom Cruise?
Likes Tom Cruise 37.5%
Doesn't like Tom Cruise 50%
Not sure 12.5%

Are you alive or dead?
Alive 75%
Dead 12.5%
Not sure 12.5%

Is disco dead?
Yes 87.5%
No 0%
Not sure 12.5%

We asked 8 adults, who all claimed they were registered or were getting around to it.

We have internals, and are a respected polling institution.

I don't understand your post. You claimed in another thread you were objective, and then you write this kind of crap. Why don't you save your posts until you have something constructive to add.

I'm sorry, but people just don't like Tom Cruise as much as you think.

See, now thats funny... well done

But on the post above, of course its the trend that matters, thats why we're here watching the trackers.   But yes, changes from one day to the next are less useful.

Ah, but couldn't you also attribute that to Zogby's trends?

[Zarn]

Obama's lead is solid now.

I'm still going to vote for McCain. Nothing is going to change that, but the cycle of history continues.

I guess the idea of corruption in Washington under fire would be too good to be true. It's embraced now more than ever.

[Zarn]

Maybe before each Zogby and Kos update, we put in the post "Warning: Poll is for humor only."

At least, they figured out about the nifty invention of the telephone.

[Zarn]

RCP (for what its worth) says -5.0

[Zarn]

RCP (for what its worth) says -5.0

Yes, because they have thrown out all of the (older) non-tracking polls from their average.

With today's Gallup numbers it will increase to about 6%, especially if we include R2000 as well.

Say NO to Kos!

[Zarn]

A fundraising bounce? Really?

How can you have a fundraising bounce?