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Author Topic: New Florida Poll from Survey USA  (Read 3663 times)
lonestar
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« on: September 14, 2004, 07:46:03 pm »
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Hasn't even made it to the Survey USA website.
It was conducted September 12-14.  

George W. Bush- 51%
John F. Kerry-      45%

Vorlon, I'll be waiting for your analysis.  

http://www.firstcoastnews.com/news/survey/docs/FL040914pressen.pdf
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To the millions of men and women who came from every country of the world and who -- with their own hands, their intelligence, and their hearts -- built the greatest nation in the world, America did not say, "Come, and everything will be given to you." Rather, she said, "Come, and the only limits to what you will be able to achieve will be those of your own courage, your boldness, and your talent.

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CARLHAYDEN
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E: 1.38, S: -0.51

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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2004, 07:51:09 pm »
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Based on their record, figure Bush 52-53, and Kerry 43-44.

Check on the detailed analysis of SUSA polls in the "New Survey USA polls" on this forum.
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Lunar
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2004, 07:53:29 pm »
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SUSA being more likely to error on the side of Democrats is different from consistantly erroring on the side of the Democrats.  You can't simply add 2 to every number to set things right.  They often error on the side of Republicans too.
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this is real
CARLHAYDEN
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E: 1.38, S: -0.51

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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2004, 07:56:49 pm »
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That is true.

Please note that I said, "based on their record."

There is a second thread on this board on the subject started by Vorlon.

I agree with him that polling Florida at this time is very problematical.

I suspect the urban areas are probably overrepresented in the sample for the reason I stated on that thread.
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Registered in Arizona for Fantasy election purposes.
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