Insider Advantage/Politico: Useless county polling
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Author Topic: Insider Advantage/Politico: Useless county polling  (Read 1080 times)
Alcon
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« on: October 14, 2008, 11:27:12 AM »
« edited: October 14, 2008, 11:28:55 AM by Alcon »
Washoe County, Nevada (10/9, 586 LV, MoE +/-4%)
Obama 46% (-1)
McCain 45% (-6)

Wake County, North Carolina (10/9, 646 LV, MoE +/-3.7%)
Obama 50% (+1)
McCain 44% (-7)

Hillsborough County, Florida (10/12, 638 LV, MoE +/-3.8%)
Obama 47% (+1)
McCain 41% (-12)

Jefferson County, Colorado (10/12, 408 LV, MoE +/-5%)
McCain 45% (-7)
Obama 42% (-5)

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14556.html
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2008, 12:20:32 PM »
Politico paid Insider Advantage to poll counties? 

I guess Politico is fast becoming a joke website.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2008, 12:24:29 PM »
Why is a poll of Hillsborough County useless?

It's pretty easy to see why Obama is winning in Florida if he's winning in Tampa by that margin. Bush won Hillsborough County 53-46.

Obama's gains in Florida have came from the I-4 corridor, which is terrific news.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2008, 12:27:09 PM »

I still don't really trust county-level polls, and Insider Advantage is a bad pollster.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2008, 02:51:06 PM »
A county poll *should* be trashy, given the lack of track record.

Anyways, three of these look suspiciously accurate.
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Reds4
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2008, 03:10:15 PM »
County polls could be useful is they were done by a very good polling firm.. done by Insider Advantage they are definitely useless. IA needs to figure out how to poll on a state level first.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2008, 09:25:19 AM »
« Edited: October 17, 2008, 09:50:13 AM by You are a Gentleman and a Scholar »
More of these:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14657.html

Bucks County, PA
Obama 47, Mccain 41

Prince William County, VA
Obama 50, McCain 42

St Louis County, MO
Obama: 53, McCain: 37

Franklin County, OH
Obama: 45, McCain 40

Lots of undecideds in Bucks and Franklin compared to the rest. If their internal polling shows the same thing, that is a bit worrisome for Obama.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2008, 09:31:29 AM »

He is so divine that he has the ability to beat himself.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2008, 10:40:49 AM »
Bucks County, PA
Obama 47 (-4), Mccain 41 (-7)

Prince William County, VA
Obama 50 (+4), McCain 42 (-11)

St Louis County, MO
Obama: 53 (-1), McCain: 37 (-8)

Franklin County, OH
Obama: 45 (-9), McCain 40 (-5)

(denotes change on 2004)
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