Lithuanian Parliamentary Election, Today

[Bono]

Unfortunately I haven't been able to find any polls. The current parliament is composed of, with past election results:

Labour Party (DP)  Centrist: 28,4% 39 seats
Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) Social dem.: 20,7% (in coalition with NS) 20 seats
New Union - Social Liberals (NS) Social liberalism: 20,7% (in coalition with NS) 11 seats
Homeland Union - Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) Conserv., Christian dem.: 16,1% 25 seats
Order and Justice (TT) Populism, National conserv.: 11,4% 10 seats
Liberal and Centre Union (LiCS) Conserv. liberalism: 9,2% 18 seats
Lithuanian Peasant Popular Union (LVLS) Conserv., Agrarianism: 6,6% 10 seats
Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania (AWPL)  Polish min., Conserv.: 3,8% 2 seats
Independents: 6 seats

The governing parties are the LSDP, LiCS and LVLS, with the LSDP leading the coalition. The parliament is elected for a 4 year term, with a 5% clause (combined lists 7%), and a majoritanian + proportional voting system (71/70)

[minionofmidas]

Minority administration?

[Bono]

Minority administration?

Yep. The current PM, Social-Dem Gediminas Kirkilas, only came to his current position because the former LSDP leader couldn't gather the votes in parliament, and apparently there was lesser objection to him.
This administration, from what I know, has been fairly pragmatic, and they are far from radical-leftists--they do have a flat tax after all. I'd probably vote LiCS.

[Daniel Adams]

The only poll I could find dates from early September:

Lietuvos Rytas, September 4-14:
TS-LKD: 12.4%
TT: 11.4%
DP: 8.7%
LSDP: 7.2%
(MoE: +/- 1.9%)

One Reuters article mentions a poll by Baltijos Tyrimai that has the TS-LKD leading, with the LSDP second, the TT third, and presumably the DP fourth. The new "Rising Nation Party" apparently also has a chance at gaining parliamentary representation.

[Daniel Adams]

The AP is reporting that exit polls give the Homeland Union a lead:

TS-LKD: 20%
TT: 14%
LSDP: 13%
Rising Nation: 11%
(MoE: +/- 1.5%)

[Harry Hayfield]

Data from Euronews

Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) Social dem.: 3rd place
Homeland Union - Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) Conserv., Christian dem.: 21%

President's Party in 2nd place. Vote tallies to be confirmed after a second round of voting on October 26th.

[Bono]

Ok, the results for the first 70 seats, presumably the party list seats, were as follows:

TS-LKD:  19,6% 17 seats
TPP (National Revival Party, apparently centrist): 15,1% 13 seats
TT: 12,7% 11 seats
LSDP:  11,8% 11 seats
DP: 9,0% 8 seats
LRLS (Lithuanian Republic Liberal Movement, a new Conservative-Liberal party): 5,7% 5 seats
LiCS: 5,3% 5 seats
AWPL: 4,9% 0 seats
LVLS: 3,7% 0 seats
NS: 3,6% 0 seats

The other 71 seats will be decided in an October 26 runnoff.

[Bono]

Constituency Results

TS-LKD 26 seats
LSDP 16 seats
TPP 3 seats
TT 4 seats
LRLS 6 seats
DP 2 seats
LiCS 3 seats
AWPL 3 seats
LVLS 3 seats
NS 1 seat
Independents 4 seats

[Bono]

Total Parliamentary Composition

TS-LKD: 44 seats (+19)
TPP: 16 seats (+16)
TT: 15 seats (+5)
LSDP: 26 seats (+6)
DP: 10 seats (-29)
LRLS: 11 seats (+11)
LiCS: 8 seats (-10)
AWPl 3 seats (+1)
LVLS: 3 seats (-7)
NS: 1 seat (-10)
Independents: 4 seats (-2)

[Bono]

As a final note, the government has been formed as a coalition of the TS-LKD, the TPP, the LRLS and the LiCS.