Canada 2008: Official Results Thread

[Hash]

I prefer thinner borders.

[minionofmidas]

There should be a mini territories insert somewhere on Al's map.

[Hash]

Final proof that CTV/Strategic Counsel "battleground polls" are totally useless bullsh**t.

http://www.punditsguide.ca/2008/10/so-called-battleground-ridings-saw-just.php

[MaxQue]

Bigger version is in the gallery, etc.

Work underway on party vote maps.

Your map is wrong. Brossard-La Prairie was won by a Liberal.

That is the result of the juridical recount. They counted a box two times and they forgot another one.

[Hash]

Bigger version is in the gallery, etc.

Work underway on party vote maps.

Your map is wrong. Brossard-La Prairie was won by a Liberal.

That is the result of the juridical recount. They counted a box two times and they forgot another one.

Considering he made the map on October 17, and the recount ended like yesterday, cut him some slack.

A few other seats are also contested. Vancouver South, Egmont, and I think another one.

[MaxQue]

Bigger version is in the gallery, etc.

Work underway on party vote maps.

Your map is wrong. Brossard-La Prairie was won by a Liberal.

That is the result of the juridical recount. They counted a box two times and they forgot another one.

Considering he made the map on October 17, and the recount ended like yesterday, cut him some slack.

A few other seats are also contested. Vancouver South, Egmont, and I think another one.

The recount ended today. I know. That was supposed to be funny. Egmont is finished, also. The conservative lead was 62, they finished with 56. We are waiting: Vancouver South, won by a liberal by 33 votes, Esquimalt--Juan de Fuca, won by 68 votes by a liberal, Kitchener--Waterloo, won by a conservative by 48 votes and Brampton West won by a liberal by 213 votes.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The map will be updated when all the judicial recounts have ceased

[minionofmidas]

Tories need about a 2.odd uniform swing from the Liberals for a majority. Liberals would need an almost 7.0 uniform swing to be largest party (although they'd outpoll the Tories by 2.5% on a 7 point swing, they'd have just one seat more).

Tory gains on a three-point swing from Liberals:

Malpeque (PEI), Moncton - Riverview - Dieppe (NB), Guelph, Mississauga S, Brampton W, Brampton Springdale, Don Valley W, York C, Eglinton - Lawrence (Onto), Winnipeg SC (Man), Esquimalt - Juan de Fuca, Newton - N Delta, Vancouver S (BC) from the Liberals plus Welland, Sault Ste Marie (Onto), Burnaby - Douglas and New Westminster - Coquitlam (BC) from the NDP. In addition, such a swing would make the Liberals lose Papineau (and Brossard - La Prairie actually, but I used election night figures for consistency's sake) to the Bloc.

Liberal gains on a seven-point swing from Tories:

West Nova (NSc), Egmont (PEI), Miramichi, Fredericton, St John (NB), Ottawa W, Ottawa - Orléans, Glengarry - Prescott - Russell, Huron - Bruce, Essex, Haldimand - Norfolk, London W, Brant, Kitchener C, Kitchener - Waterloo, Oakville, Halton, Mississauga Erindale, Thornhill, Oak Ridges, Newmarket - Aurora, Kenora (Onto), St Boniface (Man), Nunavut (Nunavut), Saanich - Gulf Islands, N Vancouver (BC) directly, Haute Gaspésie etc, Gatineau, Brossard - La Prairie (see above), Brôme - Missisquoi, Ahuntsic, Jeanne Le Ber (Qué) Liberal gains from the Bloc, Outremont (Qué), Welland, Trinity - Spadina, Sudbury (Onto) from the NDP, South Shore - St Margaret's (NSc), Oshawa (Onto), Saskatoon - Rosetown - Biggar (Sas), Vancouver Island N, Surrey N (BC) Tory losses to the NDP, Edmonton Sherwood Park to an Independent, for a combined total of
112 Liberals
111 Tories
44 Bequistes
38 Dippers
3 Independents

[the506]

Long time lurker, first time poster...

Here's a spreadsheet I did up showing the swing for all major parties in each riding from 06 to 08

http://www.the506.com/change0608.xls

They haven't been updated for recounts yet. I'm going make these into a map at some point if you want.

[Хahar 🤔]

Welcome to the forum! We've never had an NB poster before.

Great spreadsheet there. Very interesting. Also, I see you're a roadgeek. Wonderful!

[ottermax]

Most of the seats the Greens lost votes in were in Quebec, while they made huge gains in several areas of the country, particularly in areas they had little presence before.

[the506]

http://www.gpmurray-research.com/electoral-atlas/index.htm

Anyone have this? Wondering a) if it's worth the price, and b) if it can easily be updated for 2008 once the poll-by-poll results come out.

I think CTV showed a few of these maps on election night.

[Hatman 🍁]

Yeah, I noticed the CTV maps. I thought they stole my idea... I guess maybe they did.

$750 is probably a decent price for these maps.