Canada 2008: Official Results Thread

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There appears to be massive Conservative failure in Newfoundland and massive Liberal failure in the rest of the Maritimes.

I'm actually rather baffled as to how the Conservatives could have gained four seats in NS and NB combined. Okay, they win West Nova, Madawaska, and... Miramichi? Saint John? Those seem pretty unlikely to me.

Also conflicting reports out of South Shore-St. Margaret's that the NDP may have won the seat or the Conservatives may have held on.

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Conservatives leading in a PEI riding...

Which one?

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Conservatives leading in a PEI riding...

Egmont?  What about that one Quebec riding that usually reports early?

BQ leads, Libs second there. Tories third lol.


I heard 75% for Jack Harris. Lol.

Interesting. The Conservatives were within ten in Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine in 2006. If they fell to third, either the Liberals have resurged majorly in Quebec or the Conservatives have collapsed there (or both).

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Conservatives leading in a PEI riding...

Egmont?  What about that one Quebec riding that usually reports early?

BQ leads, Libs second there. Tories third lol.


I heard 75% for Jack Harris. Lol.

Interesting. The Conservatives were within ten in Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine in 2006. If they fell to third, either the Liberals have resurged majorly in Quebec or the Conservatives have collapsed there (or both).

If both then would the NDP or BQ be set up for some gains?

The NDP will only win seats in Quebec outside of Outremont if they get quite lucky in Westmount-Ville-Marie, Hull-Aylmer or Gatineau (all three will swing quite independently of the rest of the province). The Bloc could stand to regain much of what they lost to the Conservatives in 2006, though, if the pattern held. The Liberals would gain a few Montreal-area ridings from the Bloc, too.

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One poll left in Egmont. C'mon, go Liberals!

I wonder what would make Egmont vote for the Conservatives anyways? Isn't PEI pretty liberal?

Not liberal at all (in an American or a European sense). They are very Liberal, however.

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RDI has one Green leading! Go Greenies!

Where? Guelph? If May lost Central Nova, that's the only place I could see them leading. BGOS is just too Conservative, although the Greens should get a strong second there, and Nunavut will come in very late.

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Online results are up.

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Online results are up.

Where at?

CBC and Elections Canada (CBC.ca and Elections.ca).

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Central Nova
MacKay (CPC): 47%
May (GPC): 32%
Lorefice (NDP): 20%

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NDP came very close in St. John's South--Mount Pearl.

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Anyone know who James Ford is? He's winning Edmonton-Sherwood Park right now.

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Anyone know who James Ford is? He's winning Edmonton-Sherwood Park right now.

http://jimmyford.ca/

I guess we should all refer to him as Jimmy Ford! from now on if he manages to get elected.

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Grits not doing great on Montreal Island.

They're doing well, really.

Really? 8 Bloc seats.

There are some Bloc strongholds in East Montreal. The only marginal seat in Montreal the Liberals aren't leading in right now is Jeanne-Le Ber.

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Gatineau will definitely be the lowest winning margin. I've been watching Boivin inching up all night, too. The Liberals have also been inching up alongside her; looks as if the Anglo areas are reporting later.

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CBC called Edmonton-Strathcona for Rahim Jaffer a long time ago, but Linda Duncan has now come extremely close (within three points) with still 78 polls out. Maybe they know more than I do about what's out.

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The NDP may have taken Sudbury. I'm actually a little shocked; of the two Nickleland seats that one's always been surprisingly resistent to the Socialist charge...

Sudbury is the surprise result of the night, I think. It's definitely NDP. Up almost 2000 votes with only 11 polls left.

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bq is in trouble in brome-missisquoi

Well spotted. A possible Liberal takeback in the Estrie; not something anyone had predicted, I think.

No, I think people were aware Brome-Missisquoi might be in danger. At least, I was. But I think the Bloc will hold it, barely.

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NDP leads in Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar... by 9 votes. 15 polls left, recent results to come in have favored the Conservatives. The gerrymandering of Saskatchewan is so blatant in this election; the NDP have 25.49% but may win no seats at all, while the Liberals have a safe seat with only 14.78% of the vote.

Also, best NDP province ended up being Newfoundland (!), although Nova Scotia, my prediction, was second. The NDP suffered from poor vote distribution in both of those provinces, too, racking up immense majorities in St. John's East and Sackville-Eastern Shore while getting second place in a lot of ridings (and winning Halifax). The Conservatives won three seats in Nova Scotia to the NDP's two despite the NDP leading the Conservatives in the PV by almost 3 points.

The Liberals won only three provinces and a territory: Nova Scotia (with less than 30% of the vote!), Newfoundland, PEI, and Yukon.

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14 polls left, NDP leads by 33 votes in SRB.

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CBC called Edmonton-Strathcona a long time ago, but Linda Duncan has now come extremely close (within three points) with still 78 polls out. Maybe they know more than I do about what's out.

Like I said earlier, CBC are getting stupid with this early calling.

It's U of A in his Riding.

Yes, I know... But they don't seem to. The riding has gotten even closer since I posted that.

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I don't suppose there are any election results maps out there for anyone wanting to look at the big picture?

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/

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Block ahead in SRB. I know I've complained enough about the boundaries in Saskatchewan over the years, but this year it just looks obscene.

At least Edmonton-Strathcona is continuing to go in the right direction. Also, there's no real way to tell what those last ten polls in SRB will do.

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Duceppe is the Bloc's biggest asset. There's no way they ditch the most-liked leader in Canada.

Anyway, who is running the vote counting in Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca? 5/225 two whole hours after closing?

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Map:



Based on the maps Earl puts on Wikipedia.

When the Liberals lose Ontario, you know it's bad.

Actually, the Liberals have lost Ontario and formed a minority government in the past--but that was before the Bloc.



Also, Earl will need a new shade for Nova Scotia to represent <30%.

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Time to call Edmonton-Strathcona for the NDP. Duncan leads by 459 votes with only one poll left. At least the Conservative sweep of Alberta lasted only one election.

Also, strong NDP result, relatively speaking, in Edmonton East. Edit: Ah, Ray Martin.