OR-Rasmussen: It's all tied

[Tender Branson]

Merkley - 47
Smith - 47

Smith, who is seeking a third term in the Senate, has the support of 85% of the state’s Republicans and 18% of Democrats. Merkley, the speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, is backed by 75% of Democrats and 11% of GOP voters. Unaffiliated voters give Merkley the edge by eight points. Last month he led among unaffiliateds by four.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Oregon voters have a favorable opinion of Smith, up from 49% a month ago, while 43% view him unfavorably, a decrease of three. Merkley has 49% favorables, up four from September, and 48% unfavorables, an increase from 46% a month ago.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/oregon/election_2008_oregon_senate

[Sam Spade]

Actual internals...

Smith 46.70
Merkley 46.71

That's close.

[Lunar]

MERKLEY IS AHEAD

[MarkWarner08]

Actual internals...

Smith 46.70
Merkley 46.71

That's close.

This poll has one inherent flaw: They didn't poll Brownlow, who is siphoning far-right voters from Smith's base.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Oregon should be a state where Obama will carry Merkley to victory, hopefully.  My prediction:

OREGON PRESIDENT -
54% (D) Obama
43% (R) McCain
  2% Others


OREGON SENATE -
49% (D) Merkley
46% (R) Smith
  4% (C) Brownlow

[Lief 🗽]

Actual internals...

Smith 46.70
Merkley 46.71

That's close.

This poll has one inherent flaw: They didn't poll Brownlow, who is siphoning far-right voters from Smith's base.

Seriously? Well, trash poll then. We probably won't know the winner of this race for a few weeks though, since the voting in Oregon is mail-in and they count everything post-marked, not necessarily received, on Nov. 4, iirc.

[HardRCafé]

I always liked Smith, but he seems to be taking advice from Jeanne Devolites-Davis.  I give Dole better odds than Smith.

[MarkWarner08]

I always liked Smith, but he seems to be taking advice from Jeanne Devolites-Davis.  I give Dole better odds than Smith.

Are you insinuating that Gordon Smith's new pen pal is Tom Davis?