IL-Chicago Tribune: Obama leads by a wide margin

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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IL-Chicago Tribune: Obama leads by a wide margin

« on: October 21, 2008, 12:14:05 AM »

Obama - 56
McCain - 32

This Chicago Tribune Poll is based on interviews with 500 confirmed registered voters in Illinois likely to vote in the November 4 general election. Interviewing began the day after the final presidential debate, Thursday evening October 16, and ended on Saturday, October 18. The potential margin of error for a sample of this size is +/- 4.4% at the 95% level of confidence.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/media/acrobat/2008-10/42988996.pdf

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Alcon
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 30,866

Re: IL-Chicago Tribune: Obama leads by a wide margin

« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2008, 12:16:37 AM »

Confirmed registered voters? Really? That's pretty hardcore.

Wild guess: Confirmed means they said so.

(Or maybe it was a random phone sample from the voter registration rolls. Is that legal?)

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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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Posts: 27,547

Re: IL-Chicago Tribune: Obama leads by a wide margin

« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2008, 09:37:07 AM »

Chicago Tribune polling historically sucks. Just FYI.

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Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,403

Re: IL-Chicago Tribune: Obama leads by a wide margin

« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2008, 10:59:13 AM »

Obama will win Illinois big, but probably not go above 60%. My prediction:

ILLINOIS PRESIDENT -
59% (D) Obama
40% (R) McCain

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