Will McCain break 60% in Alabama?
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  Will McCain break 60% in Alabama?		 « previous next »
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Question: Will McCain break 60% in Alabama?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Will McCain break 60% in Alabama?  (Read 1190 times)
Aizen
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« on: October 23, 2008, 12:21:31 AM »
?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2008, 12:22:00 AM »
No. Bush doing so was quite unusual anyway.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2008, 12:26:36 AM »
Maybe. Just barely.
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Firefly
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2008, 01:13:22 AM »
Yes.  I think it's possible he even outperforms Bush 2004 there.
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Lunar
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2008, 01:21:53 AM »
« Edited: October 23, 2008, 01:24:05 AM by Lunar »


Non-Southern GOP + black vote
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2008, 01:28:39 AM »
Quote from: Firefly on October 23, 2008, 01:13:22 AM
Yes.  I think it's possible he even outperforms Bush 2004 there.

Not a chance. Bush pretty much maxed out there in 2004. At the very least blacks will make up a higher percentage of the vote.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2008, 01:31:30 AM »
High turnout from blacks would prevent that.
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Lunar
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2008, 01:31:56 AM »
Quote from: Innocent Vigilent Ordinary on October 23, 2008, 01:28:39 AM
Quote from: Firefly on October 23, 2008, 01:13:22 AM
Yes.  I think it's possible he even outperforms Bush 2004 there.

Not a chance. Bush pretty much maxed out there in 2004. At the very least blacks will make up a higher percentage of the vote.

And go for Obama at a higher rate.  Possibly going from 88% (or whatever) to 95%.  
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Brittain33
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2008, 08:01:42 AM »
Quote from: Bacon King on October 23, 2008, 01:31:30 AM
High turnout from blacks would prevent that.

This. Bush 2004 benefited from maxing out an energized white vote while black voters did not turn out as much as they will this year.
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TomC
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2008, 08:17:58 AM »
I'd bet high 50s but not quite 60.
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Workers' Friend
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2008, 08:19:22 AM »
Yes, but then again if blacks turn out more, then no.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2008, 08:28:16 AM »
Quote from: Bob Dole on October 23, 2008, 08:19:22 AM
Yes, but then again if blacks turn out more, then no.



But yeah, but no, but yeah... Smiley
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