Gallup's track record

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Iowa Democratic poll 1/9-1/11:
John Kerry 9
Howard Dean 26
John Edwards 7
Wesley Clark 20
Al Sharpton 3
Dennis Kucinich 2
Other/None/No opinion 5
Joe Lieberman 9
Dick Gephardt 7
Carol Moseley Braun n/a

Iowa Democratic results 1/19:
John Kerry 38
John Edwards 32
Howard Dean 18
Dick Gephardt 11
Dennis Kucinich 1
Wesley Clark 0
Al Sharpton 0
Joe Lieberman 0
Carol Moseley Braun 0
Other/None/No opinion 0

They really nailed that one.

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And here:
Bush leads 52-39 .....
in late October 2000
http://www.guardian.co.uk/US_election_race/Story/0,2763,389295,00.html

Just 10 days after that poll was released, Al Gore won the popular vote by half a point.

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Bush was asked if he had a DWI arrest in the '70s. He said no. Releasing the DWI arrest information at whatever time they felt like was completely fair game. Bush was attacking Gore for his positions on the issues in 1974. Of course a DWI by the older Bush in 1976 was relevant.