Will McCain win Ohio?

[Sbane]

The quantity of yard signs, campaign signs spread throughout rural counties, can be very misleading. I was working in NH four years ago, and was convinced based upon the overwhelming advantage in signage, canvassing supporters, etc. that Kerry would easily win the state. As we now know, it was a real squeaker.

(Generally) agreed.

Yesterday, I saw ~150 yard signs in total in Seattle, and am now willing to predict that John McCain will receive a crushing defeat at the hands of Ralph Nader and Socialist Workers candidate Roger Calero.

Yard signs = not a representative sample

Haha yeah...based on yard signs I can safely predict that John Campbell is about to get crushed by Steve young in the 48th CD.

[Sbane]

The quantity of yard signs, campaign signs spread throughout rural counties, can be very misleading. I was working in NH four years ago, and was convinced based upon the overwhelming advantage in signage, canvassing supporters, etc. that Kerry would easily win the state. As we now know, it was a real squeaker.

(Generally) agreed.

Yesterday, I saw ~150 yard signs in total in Seattle, and am now willing to predict that John McCain will receive a crushing defeat at the hands of Ralph Nader and Socialist Workers candidate Roger Calero.

Yard signs = not a representative sample

Haha yeah...based on yard signs I can safely predict that John Campbell is about to get crushed by Steve young in the 48th CD.

Frightening thought to contemplate being represented by a third rate hack tort lawyer! Oh the horror, the horror!

Hahaha and here I was thinking you would want another lawyer in congress. CPA's are overrated anyways. He is coming to my class in a few days, so I will see what he is about.

[Sbane]

Campbell is more than just a CPA. He was a business owner, of a used car lot. He is actually a lot smarter and substantive than I thought he would be. But he is no rocket scientist, and does not have well, a creative mind. In short, he ain't a Torie.   But he is a hard worker, and not a red meat type. He voted pro gay on some measure in Congress, one of about 40 Pubbies to do so, but then Laguna Beach is in his district. He didn't demagogue on the bailout bill, even though he hardly was one who could elucidate the pros and cons with any gravitas, but then few others could either.

His representative came to our class since he was busy in Washington and his basic argument was that Campbell is a "California republican". He said Campbell doesn't care much about social issues and then started rambling about his own pro-choice views. Also it does seem like Campbell and Barney Frank are the only ones who understood what was happening. The fiscal cons in class hammered the poor guy for his boss's vote on the bailout but I think he did a good job of explaining why it was necessary in the end.