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Author Topic: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8  (Read 1396 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 28, 2008, 02:04:36 pm »
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McCain - 53
Obama - 45

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2008, 02:06:05 pm »
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Too bad: Musgrove is a lost cause.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2008, 02:06:54 pm »
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45% is probably as good as Obama can do.
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As expected the wop won.

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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2008, 02:07:58 pm »
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Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2008, 02:08:10 pm »
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45% is probably as good as Obama can do.

^^^^^^

this
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2008, 02:08:48 pm »
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Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...

Because of the gay ad. It has scared Conservatives in MS to death ...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2008, 02:12:02 pm »
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Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...

Because of the gay ad. It has scared White people in MS to death ...

Nah.  Wicker had one of the best debate performances I've witnessed this year in their recent debate.  Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%
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Franzl
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2008, 02:13:19 pm »
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Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2008, 02:14:04 pm »
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Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?

I wanted to ask the same. Smiley

15% ?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2008, 02:14:19 pm »
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Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?

According to this poll - 15%.  82% support McCain.  3% are undecided/other, i.e. support McCain.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2008, 02:14:24 pm »
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Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...

Because of the gay ad. It has scared White people in MS to death ...

Nah.  Wicker had one of the best debate performances I've witnessed this year in their recent debate.  Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%

lol. I haven't followed that race much but I have to hand it to the guy for that. That's genius.
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As expected the wop won.

Eraserhead's Original Update: Open For Business 24/7
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 34151
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2008, 02:15:53 pm »
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Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?

According to this poll - 15%.  82% support McCain.  3% are undecided/other, i.e. support McCain.

Thx, on Election Day it will be closer to 12% I think.
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tweed
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2008, 02:17:02 pm »
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Wicker running ahead of McCain seems hard to believe
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they live in between a, 'what is' and 'what if?'
Sam Spade
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2008, 02:18:06 pm »
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Wicker running ahead of McCain seems hard to believe

It's all about getting 12% of blacks, as opposed to 1%.  McCain runs 3%-4% ahead of Wicker among whites.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2008, 02:19:11 pm »
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Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%

That trick is working is it. Interesting.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2008, 02:19:58 pm »
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Wicker running ahead of McCain seems hard to believe

It's all about getting 12% of blacks, as opposed to 1%.  McCain runs 3%-4% ahead of Wicker among whites.

which is information I don't have access to, as a poor.
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there's no ghosts in the graveyard, that's not where they live
they live in between a, 'what is' and 'what if?'
Sam Spade
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2008, 02:29:43 pm »
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Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%

That trick is working is it. Interesting.

Granted the poll could be an outlier (Prez race is similar, but still), but compare the results...

9/27/08
Wicker 48.78
Musgrove 46.67

                    White    Black
Wicker          73.58    2.24
Musgrove     21.09    96.54

10/27/08
Wicker 54.11
Musgrove 42.51

                     White    Black
Wicker          77.97    11.85
Musgrove     17.51     87.04
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