In which states will the polls be wrong? (user search)
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  In which states will the polls be wrong? (search mode)
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Author Topic: In which states will the polls be wrong?  (Read 1977 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« on: October 28, 2008, 08:07:13 PM »

Possibly North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio.  Those states always seem to poll more Democratic than they vote in Presidential elections. 

Strange, I always thought Ohio and PA polled pretty normally (with normal referring to 2000/2004 - yes I know Gore underpolled in 2000, but part of that was due to the last minute shift and him publicly withdrawing everyone).

Florida is always going to poll weird and usually too Democratic.

You missed Virginia.

Actually, this election is quite confusing in many ways.  Somehow I suspect a lot of polls may be off.  I think that's the answer Al wanted, right?  Wink
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2008, 08:13:25 PM »

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You aren't going to bill anyone for that are you Sam? Tongue

Nope, just an observation...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2008, 09:12:25 PM »

I think that's the answer Al wanted, right?  Wink

Grin

Actually, I just want to hear what other people think (and why, obviously). Though I have some, er, "concerns" about a couple of places, here and there...

Oh I suspect we're thinking of the same places.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2008, 09:30:50 PM »

Possibly North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio.  Those states always seem to poll more Democratic than they vote in Presidential elections. 

Those states always used to invalidate legitimate votes.  Kerry pledged to contest vote results but didn't.  Obama got it right by fighting for the voters to be counted before the election!

My pick, Indiana.  Twenty thousand plus at Obama rallies.  Mccain couldn't get that if he promised to eat Manning's shorts.

So, Kerry would have won North Carolina but for invalidation of legitimate votes?
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