In which states will the polls be wrong?

[Torie]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You aren't going to bill anyone for that are you Sam?

[Torie]

Almost all of them.  They'll get a lot more accurate in the next week, though.

Most thoughts exactly on the first part

I'd say states that are most heavily wrong in Obama's favor: MT, ND, MN, WA, OR
States that are most heavily wrong in McCain's favor: CO, VA, NC, FL, PA

McCain is going to get slaughtered in PA eh?  He's already down by 8% or so, or something.

[Torie]

Almost all of them.  They'll get a lot more accurate in the next week, though.

Most thoughts exactly on the first part

I'd say states that are most heavily wrong in Obama's favor: MT, ND, MN, WA, OR
States that are most heavily wrong in McCain's favor: CO, VA, NC, FL, PA

McCain is going to get slaughtered in PA eh?  He's already down by 8% or so, or something.

No, I think he's going to win or come very close.  What I meant is that they are most heavily wrong and will go in their favor on election day, sorry for the confusion

Well maybe you should work your respective lines then.   

[Torie]

The state polls are now so terrible for McCain, that I am not sure he will underperform in any state vis a vis those, at least of any of which I am aware. California has polls showing Obama up by 25% now. It will be more than 16%-18% I think, so that might be the most  bloated one. But maybe my compatriots are going what I am going through. I don't see McCain beating the polls in states which Obama is working hard. Rather he will underperform by a couple of percent.

I suspect maybe McCain will do a bit better than the poll average in Indiana that has been shown so far. I just can't get my mind around that big a swing.