When do you Dean can be stopped?

[M]

You may not think Dean will be beaten; in fact, I don't. But if he were to be beaten,  when do you think would be most likely?

[M]

I went Iowa caucus. If Gephardt can oull it off (unlikely by the results of a recent poll, but possible), he just might become the great anti-Dean. Unlikely, I know. I don't think it'll happen. But is is the most likely possibility next to Dean carrying the nomination.

[Flying Dog]

That poll is not that relieable . I only go with the Des Moines register polls.  

[DarthKosh]

November 2

[Flying Dog]

iowa

[Michael Z]

Yep, Iowa. Gephardt stands a good chance of putting the breaks on Dean there and then.

[Flying Dog]

Yep, Iowa. Gephardt stands a good chance of putting the breaks on Dean there and then.

i think so too



fear  the turtle

[TomAtPitt]

If Gephardt can pull out Iowa, he will stand a good chance of setting himself up as the "Not Dean" option for the Democratic Primary. And if he can do that, he should be able to pick up alot of votes from Democrats who have concerns over whether Dean is an electable candidate.

[Flying Dog]

If Gephardt can pull out Iowa, he will stand a good chance of setting himself up as the "Not Dean" option for the Democratic Primary. And if he can do that, he should be able to pick up alot of votes from Democrats who have concerns over whether Dean is an electable candidate.

dean has around 40% of the dem base. the other 60% are split between the other candidates. I think they should unite behind gephardt or kerry because thats the only way they can stop dean.  They have to do it fast to stop the dean machine.

i whould like gephardt

[Nym90]

I don't know where you get that 40% figure from, I've never seen Dean top 20% in any poll of Democratic voters nationally. He might be getting close to 40% in New Hampshire in some polls, but that's about it.

[Flying Dog]

I don't know where you get that 40% figure from, I've never seen Dean top 20% in any poll of Democratic voters nationally. He might be getting close to 40% in New Hampshire in some polls, but that's about it.

polls dont always tell the truth

[jravnsbo]

I respect the turtle, but I do not fear him.

[Nym90]

True, they don't, but what evidence do you have that Dean's vote is actually more than double what the polls are revealing? That would be well outside the margin of error, so you'd have to establish that the poll is taking a very unrepresentative nonrandom sample of voters.

[DarthKosh]

Yep, Iowa. Gephardt stands a good chance of putting the breaks on Dean there and then.

I don't think Gep has what it takes to stop him.

[Flying Dog]

Yep, Iowa. Gephardt stands a good chance of putting the breaks on Dean there and then.

I don't think Gep has what it takes to stop him.

I do

[NorthernDog]

I don't know where you get that 40% figure from, I've never seen Dean top 20% in any poll of Democratic voters nationally. He might be getting close to 40% in New Hampshire in some polls, but that's about it.

polls dont always tell the truth

They always say the national polls are meaningless because it's just name ID until the primaries get underway.  If Dean really has 40% in NH with 8 other candidates he's in the driver's seat.  But I still think the Clintonites will broadside him in January.  These people play for keeps

[Michael Z]

Yep, Iowa. Gephardt stands a good chance of putting the breaks on Dean there and then.

I don't think Gep has what it takes to stop him.

Neither do I if I'm honest, but a Gephardt victory in Iowa would prove that Dean isn't as invincible as he's supposed to be - and that, in turn, would be a huge encouragement for the Clintonites to throw their weight behind someone like Clark or Edwards.