3 days out - What's your prediction? (user search)
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  3 days out - What's your prediction? (search mode)
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Author Topic: 3 days out - What's your prediction?  (Read 5686 times)
opebo
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Posts: 47,009
« on: November 01, 2008, 12:26:57 PM »


McCain 286
Obama 252
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opebo
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 47,009
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2008, 12:48:45 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on November 01, 2008, 12:34:27 PM

Opebo, no need.  Obama is up by 10% in Gallup's poll.  It's over.

What poll?  Was that a poll of Pennsylvania?  If not, what meaning has it?
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opebo
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Posts: 47,009
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2008, 01:32:08 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on November 01, 2008, 12:55:51 PM
Quote from: opebo on November 01, 2008, 12:48:45 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 01, 2008, 12:34:27 PM

Opebo, no need.  Obama is up by 10% in Gallup's poll.  It's over.

What poll?  Was that a poll of Pennsylvania?  If not, what meaning has it?

You really believe PA and NV will be 10 points more Republican than the national average?

Sure, and anyway there is no way the real lead in votes will be 10 points.  The Bradley effect alone would wipe away half of that, and adding in the trend and error, the race is essentially tied.
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