One of the four trusted nonpartisan race raters.
The four trusted people are Stu Rotherberg, CQPolitics, Larry Sabato and Cook Political.
I'm quite confident Sabato's projections are entirely non-partisan. His other ramblings strike me as fairly favorable to Republicans.
Sabato leans Democrat, not Republican. He predicted Kerry would win for most of 2004, before finally claiming the race would be a tie in the electoral college.
Right. But his editorial comments, in his weekly emails and newsletters reveal a very mild sympathy for Republican ideas. He's exceptionally reliable and, no matter what venue I have seen him in, a pleasant and very smart man. But based on nuance and the content of his analysis (not his predictions), he's a Republican.
To paraphrase Jerry Seinfeld -- "Not that there's anything wrong with that..." ;-)