VA: Survey USA: Obama's lead down to 4 (user search)
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  VA: Survey USA: Obama's lead down to 4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA: Survey USA: Obama's lead down to 4  (Read 3417 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: November 02, 2008, 12:13:27 PM »

New Poll: Virginia President by Survey USA on 2008-11-01

Summary: D: 50%, R: 46%, I: 2%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2008, 12:16:15 PM »

It should be noted that much of the change is due to party-composition in the sample.

This poll shows a 2-point advantage for the Democrats, the last one a 8-point advantage.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2008, 12:29:33 PM »

Obama will need about 36% of Whites to win VA. I`m predicting the following:

Whites (73%): Obama 36%
Blacks (22%): Obama 95%
Others (5%): Obama 70%

Obama wins 50.7% statewide.
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