True or False: If McCain fails to win Pennsylvania, he has lost the election. (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 03:50:42 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  True or False: If McCain fails to win Pennsylvania, he has lost the election. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ?
#1
True
 
#2
False
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: True or False: If McCain fails to win Pennsylvania, he has lost the election.  (Read 3581 times)
Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

WWW
« on: November 02, 2008, 08:36:31 PM »

McCain has no realistic path that adds to 270. McCain can talk all he want about how competitive this race is. It doesn't make it so. We're looking at a 1996 style map with a few states flipped in each direction.

A McCain victory basically requires public polling to utterly fail. Obama has lead in the past 20 polls in Colorado as well as the past 46 polls in PA.
Logged
Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

WWW
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2008, 08:43:24 PM »

It's called a "Bradley Effect."  How much, if any, that will be is questionable.  We'll find out in about 48 hours.

Okay, so a McCain victory requires public polling to utterly fail due to an unproven phenomena that must occur with a multiple point magnitude in at least three different states.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 15 queries.