NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15

[Verily]

New Poll: New Jersey President by Rasmussen on 2008-11-02

Summary: D: 57%, R: 42%, I: 1%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Rowan]

HUGE gender gap. Not sure I believe it.

[The Ex-Factor]

That's the reaction I had to this New Hampshire poll:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7d873f82-2844-46e6-9a04-6b9d983941c9&c=24

Huge gender gap. Whatever, who cares. 57% sounds a bit high but I have no idea why Rasmussen did this poll anyway.

[Verily]

HUGE gender gap. Not sure I believe it.

Par for the course in New Jersey. In 2004, Kerry won women by 13 while Bush won men by 1. In 2000, Gore won women by 28 points but won men by only 5. The gender gap tends to grow when Democrats do better. Gender gaps are also most severe in states with high Catholic populations.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/NJ/P/00/epolls.0.html

[Lief]

Wow, what a critical state to release a poll for the Monday before an election.

+15 sounds right now.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

[Rowan]

Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

[ChrisFromNJ]

Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

[Rowan]

Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

I still stand at Obama +8.

[TheGlobalizer]

My call: Obama +9

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

NEW JERSEY PRESIDENT -
56% (D) Obama
41% (R) McCain
  2% Others


NEW JERSEY SENATE -
52% (D) Lautenberg
43% (R) Whoever?
  4% Others

[HockeyDude]

Ehhh.... I'm feeling this

Barack Obama 57
John McCain 42

I'd had this at Obama by 11-12 forever but I don't think NJ Republicans/Independents are as enthused with John McCain as I expected.  (And my God they SHOULD'VE BEEN!  McCain is a wonderful Republican for the GOP to run in New Jersey and not once did Obama even have to THINK about making a stop here..... they really have run an awful campaign)

[Ronnie]

In other groundbreaking news, the sky is blue.

Did Rasmussen really have to poll here instead of, say, Nevada?

[Roma Caput Mundi]

Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

I still stand at Obama +8.

Looks like the poll was spot on...

[I left.]

Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

I still stand at Obama +8.

but the voters don't.

[Rowan]

Oh well. I was wrong.