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Author Topic: NJ: Rasmussen: Obama +15  (Read 5556 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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« on: November 03, 2008, 12:03:41 pm »
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New Poll: New Jersey President by Rasmussen on 2008-11-02

Summary: D: 57%, R: 42%, I: 1%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 12:07:49 pm »
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HUGE gender gap. Not sure I believe it.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 12:15:38 pm »
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That's the reaction I had to this New Hampshire poll:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7d873f82-2844-46e6-9a04-6b9d983941c9&c=24

Huge gender gap. Whatever, who cares. 57% sounds a bit high but I have no idea why Rasmussen did this poll anyway.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 12:16:30 pm »
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HUGE gender gap. Not sure I believe it.

Par for the course in New Jersey. In 2004, Kerry won women by 13 while Bush won men by 1. In 2000, Gore won women by 28 points but won men by only 5. The gender gap tends to grow when Democrats do better. Gender gaps are also most severe in states with high Catholic populations.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/NJ/P/00/epolls.0.html
« Last Edit: November 03, 2008, 12:19:47 pm by Verily »Logged
Herman Cain's Gold Chain
Lief
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 12:59:32 pm »
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Wow, what a critical state to release a poll for the Monday before an election. Roll Eyes

+15 sounds right now.
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(Part of the 2012 Election Throwback Series)
ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2008, 01:39:46 pm »
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Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2008, 01:44:09 pm by Pro-American Town, NJ »Logged
Rowan
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2008, 01:59:02 pm »
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Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 02:24:04 pm »
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Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 02:24:50 pm »
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Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

I still stand at Obama +8.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2008, 04:23:58 pm »
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My call: Obama +9
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2008, 05:07:43 pm »
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My prediction:

NEW JERSEY PRESIDENT -
56% (D) Obama
41% (R) McCain
  2% Others


NEW JERSEY SENATE -
52% (D) Lautenberg
43% (R) Whoever?
  4% Others
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[img/http://blog.pennlive.com/thrive/2007/08/WINEHOUSE1.jpgimg]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpJQq8MoR-g
HockeyDude
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2008, 06:24:35 pm »
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Ehhh.... I'm feeling this

Barack Obama 57
John McCain 42

I'd had this at Obama by 11-12 forever but I don't think NJ Republicans/Independents are as enthused with John McCain as I expected.  (And my God they SHOULD'VE BEEN!  McCain is a wonderful Republican for the GOP to run in New Jersey and not once did Obama even have to THINK about making a stop here..... they really have run an awful campaign)
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OH I JUST CAN'T WAIT TILL HE'S MOD!!!
Ronnie
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2008, 12:32:34 am »
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In other groundbreaking news, the sky is blue.

Did Rasmussen really have to poll here instead of, say, Nevada?
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Born and raised in California
Roma Caput Mundi
italian-boy
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« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2008, 04:03:53 pm »
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Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

I still stand at Obama +8.
Looks like the poll was spot on...
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Franzl
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« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2008, 04:37:49 pm »
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Hey RowanBrandon, you hack, looks like my prediction will be closer than yours.


Obama will also win close to 50% of the vote in Ocean County. I predict 47%. I remember fezzy telling me I was a moron for predicting that.

What was my prediction?

You were saying Obama +8 at most.

You even thought McCain had a chance to get within low single digits.

I still stand at Obama +8.

but the voters don't.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2008, 09:13:53 am »
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Oh well. I was wrong.
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