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Author Topic: Rasmussen State Polls 11/3  (Read 5939 times)
Duke
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« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2008, 02:52:08 pm »
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Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Switch NV and NC and I agree with you.

North Carolina won't flip before Nevada. NC is the only state I am unsure about, because I know black and young people are turning out heavily early. It could flip, but polling is showing a trend back to McCain. It could be 50/50 on both the President and Governor's races, but I am almost certain Hagan wins by 4-5.

I agree President/Governor's races are 50/50, but Hagan wins by 5%

The last Rasmussen poll out of NC had McCrory up 4, and the last PPP had Perdue up 1. If you factor in the house effect of PPP's Dem lean, then I would say McCrory is up by 1-2 points. But that race could go either way.
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pepper11
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« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2008, 03:34:08 pm »
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It is actually

MO
Obama 49%(+1)
McCain 49%(+2)
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« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2008, 04:11:27 pm »
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It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Not 11, but Obama is going to be running up the PV in NY, CA, IL, and the Northeast. 
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Duke
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« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2008, 04:13:36 pm »
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It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Not 11, but Obama is going to be running up the PV in NY, CA, IL, and the Northeast. 

Yes. I still don't think he breaks 60% in California. The GOP has a floor there.
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Boris
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« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2008, 04:23:18 pm »
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gay results. Now it's virtually impossible to predict all the states correctly using objective methods. You basically have to guess who has the better organization/how undecideds will break.
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« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2008, 04:29:14 pm »
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Finally, OH and FL look like expected reality.
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« Reply #31 on: November 03, 2008, 05:04:01 pm »
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Are these polls tight enough or what? lol
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« Reply #32 on: November 03, 2008, 05:05:20 pm »
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hope.
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« Reply #33 on: November 03, 2008, 05:09:24 pm »
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It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

McCain breaks 60% in ND? LOL.
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« Reply #34 on: November 03, 2008, 05:45:31 pm »
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It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

^^^^^^^^^

And FL is leaning Obama. OH also, but just a bit.

After a small bounce for McCain since Wednesday, Obama has his "week-end" bounce. So OH and FL could swing. But McCain will be able to keep NC with a razor-thin margin.

McCain breaks 60% in ND? LOL.
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« Reply #35 on: November 03, 2008, 06:40:07 pm »
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I'm content with these results.  I still think we are going to lose (handily), but if it's going to be tight, I'm all for it.
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« Reply #36 on: November 03, 2008, 07:04:29 pm »
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I think the outcome is still up in the air in at least 10 states, ridiculous
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