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| |-+  2008 Elections
| | |-+  Predict NC and MO
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Poll
Question: Who will win these two tossups?
Both go to McCain   -8 (38.1%)
Both go to Obama   -7 (33.3%)
NC to Obama; MO to McCain   -4 (19%)
NC to McCain; MO to Obama   -2 (9.5%)
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Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: Predict NC and MO  (Read 958 times)
MarkWarner08
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« on: November 03, 2008, 05:30:43 pm »
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I'm guessing Obama will barely win NC and MO.
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Duke
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 05:31:25 pm »
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Depends on turnout, I guess. I really can't predict either, but my gut says McCain wins both by a razor thin margin.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 05:33:04 pm »
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I'm guessing Obama will barely win NC and MO.

I agree.  If you believe in swing-state momentum and that all the dominoes fall in the direction, blah blah, then Obama should sweep North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana - should do anyway.  My prediction:

NORTH CAROLINA -
49% (D) Obama
48% (R) McCain
  2% Others


MISSOURI -
50% (D) Obama
47% (R) McCain
  2% Others


INDIANA -
49% (D) Obama
48% (R) McCain
  2% Others


Something like that anyway.
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[img/http://blog.pennlive.com/thrive/2007/08/WINEHOUSE1.jpgimg]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpJQq8MoR-g
Jacobtm
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 05:36:20 pm »
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THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.
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Why do so many people here cheer on war crimes?
Israel and the United States "killing dozens of civilians with explosives", as you phrase it, has, throughout history, almost always been a good thing.
Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 05:38:10 pm »
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THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.
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Franzl
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2008, 05:40:27 pm »
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North Carolina to McCain by 2%

Missouri to Obama by 0.5%
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Duke
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2008, 05:43:28 pm »
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THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

Yes. This is true. I just look and see that NC historically underpolls for Republicans, so I will say NC is McCain's by 3 right now. Bush was leading by 8 and won by 13, Clinton led here in 92 and lost to Bush. So it's not a done deal in NC.
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Torie
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 05:44:31 pm »
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McCain gets both.
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Jacobtm
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 05:57:22 pm »
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THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

How big? 250k votes? 500k?
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Why do so many people here cheer on war crimes?
Israel and the United States "killing dozens of civilians with explosives", as you phrase it, has, throughout history, almost always been a good thing.
TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2008, 07:04:45 pm »
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NC McCain +5
MO McCain +2

Oh, and by the way, f*** Duke.
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