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| | |-+  Predict NC and MO		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win these two tossups?
Both go to McCain   -8 (38.1%)
Both go to Obama   -7 (33.3%)
NC to Obama; MO to McCain   -4 (19%)
NC to McCain; MO to Obama   -2 (9.5%)
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Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: Predict NC and MO  (Read 913 times)
MarkWarner08
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« on: November 03, 2008, 05:30:43 pm »
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I'm guessing Obama will barely win NC and MO.
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Prez Duke
AHDuke99
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E: -1.29, S: -6.35

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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 05:31:25 pm »
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Depends on turnout, I guess. I really can't predict either, but my gut says McCain wins both by a razor thin margin.
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I call that getting swindled and pimped
Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 05:33:04 pm »
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Quote from: MarkWarner08 on November 03, 2008, 05:30:43 pm
I'm guessing Obama will barely win NC and MO.

I agree.  If you believe in swing-state momentum and that all the dominoes fall in the direction, blah blah, then Obama should sweep North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana - should do anyway.  My prediction:

NORTH CAROLINA -
49% (D) Obama
48% (R) McCain
  2% Others


MISSOURI -
50% (D) Obama
47% (R) McCain
  2% Others


INDIANA -
49% (D) Obama
48% (R) McCain
  2% Others


Something like that anyway.
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[img/http://blog.pennlive.com/thrive/2007/08/WINEHOUSE1.jpgimg]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpJQq8MoR-g
Jacobtm
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 05:36:20 pm »
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THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.
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Why do so many people here cheer on war crimes?
Quote from: Vosem on March 24, 2012, 12:00:30 pm
Israel and the United States "killing dozens of civilians with explosives", as you phrase it, has, throughout history, almost always been a good thing.
Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 05:38:10 pm »
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Quote from: Jacobtm on November 03, 2008, 05:36:20 pm
THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.
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I left.
Franzl
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2008, 05:40:27 pm »
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North Carolina to McCain by 2%

Missouri to Obama by 0.5%
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I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.

To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.

Cheers.
Prez Duke
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2008, 05:43:28 pm »
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Quote from: DukeFan22 on November 03, 2008, 05:38:10 pm
Quote from: Jacobtm on November 03, 2008, 05:36:20 pm
THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

Yes. This is true. I just look and see that NC historically underpolls for Republicans, so I will say NC is McCain's by 3 right now. Bush was leading by 8 and won by 13, Clinton led here in 92 and lost to Bush. So it's not a done deal in NC.
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I call that getting swindled and pimped
Torie
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 05:44:31 pm »
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McCain gets both.
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Jacobtm
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 05:57:22 pm »
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Quote from: DukeFan22 on November 03, 2008, 05:38:10 pm
Quote from: Jacobtm on November 03, 2008, 05:36:20 pm
THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

How big? 250k votes? 500k?
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Why do so many people here cheer on war crimes?
Quote from: Vosem on March 24, 2012, 12:00:30 pm
Israel and the United States "killing dozens of civilians with explosives", as you phrase it, has, throughout history, almost always been a good thing.
TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2008, 07:04:45 pm »
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NC McCain +5
MO McCain +2

Oh, and by the way, f*** Duke.
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