Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 04, 2015, 10:48:57 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2008 Elections
| | |-+  Predict NC and MO
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Poll
Question: Who will win these two tossups?
Both go to McCain   -8 (38.1%)
Both go to Obama   -7 (33.3%)
NC to Obama; MO to McCain   -4 (19%)
NC to McCain; MO to Obama   -2 (9.5%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: Predict NC and MO  (Read 1050 times)
MarkWarner08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5839


View Profile
« on: November 03, 2008, 05:30:43 pm »
Ignore

I'm guessing Obama will barely win NC and MO.
Logged

Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20673


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 05:31:25 pm »
Ignore

Depends on turnout, I guess. I really can't predict either, but my gut says McCain wins both by a razor thin margin.
Logged
Adlai Stevenson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3423
United Kingdom


View Profile WWW
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 05:33:04 pm »
Ignore

I'm guessing Obama will barely win NC and MO.

I agree.  If you believe in swing-state momentum and that all the dominoes fall in the direction, blah blah, then Obama should sweep North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana - should do anyway.  My prediction:

NORTH CAROLINA -
49% (D) Obama
48% (R) McCain
  2% Others


MISSOURI -
50% (D) Obama
47% (R) McCain
  2% Others


INDIANA -
49% (D) Obama
48% (R) McCain
  2% Others


Something like that anyway.
Logged

[img/http://blog.pennlive.com/thrive/2007/08/WINEHOUSE1.jpgimg]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpJQq8MoR-g
Jacobtm
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3226


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 05:36:20 pm »
Ignore

THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.
Logged

We either have a country, or we don't.
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10127
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 05:38:10 pm »
Ignore

THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.
Logged
Franzl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22410
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2008, 05:40:27 pm »
Ignore

North Carolina to McCain by 2%

Missouri to Obama by 0.5%
Logged
Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20673


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2008, 05:43:28 pm »
Ignore

THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

Yes. This is true. I just look and see that NC historically underpolls for Republicans, so I will say NC is McCain's by 3 right now. Bush was leading by 8 and won by 13, Clinton led here in 92 and lost to Bush. So it's not a done deal in NC.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30141
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 05:44:31 pm »
Ignore

McCain gets both.
Logged

Jacobtm
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3226


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 05:57:22 pm »
Ignore

THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

How big? 250k votes? 500k?
Logged

We either have a country, or we don't.
TheGlobalizer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3287
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2008, 07:04:45 pm »
Ignore

NC McCain +5
MO McCain +2

Oh, and by the way, f*** Duke.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines