Predict NC and MO (user search)
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Poll
Question: Who will win these two tossups?
#1
Both go to McCain
 
#2
Both go to Obama
 
#3
NC to Obama; MO to McCain
 
#4
NC to McCain; MO to Obama
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: Predict NC and MO  (Read 1487 times)
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,074


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
« on: November 03, 2008, 05:31:25 PM »

Depends on turnout, I guess. I really can't predict either, but my gut says McCain wins both by a razor thin margin.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,074


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 05:43:28 PM »

THe problem for Obama in NC is that over half of the state's registered black voters have already voted, and right now he probably has a small lead. He'll need to have convinced a good amount of white voters to switch their minds, or hope many Republicans stay home.

I'd give him a slight advantage in NC, but the slightest imaginable. MO, I have no idea.

No you are very much wrong, Right now Obama has a huge lead in early voting.

Yes. This is true. I just look and see that NC historically underpolls for Republicans, so I will say NC is McCain's by 3 right now. Bush was leading by 8 and won by 13, Clinton led here in 92 and lost to Bush. So it's not a done deal in NC.
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