SV finals: FL, GA, OH

[© tweed]

http://strategicvision.biz/political/results.htm

FL: Obama 49, McCain 47
GA: McCain 50, Obama 46
OH: McCain 48, Obama 46

[Franzl]

These are quite plausible results.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'm still thinking Obama is going to win Ohio by 2-3 pts.   

[Lunar]

I think Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania will be interesting states to watch because those are the sates that McCain's ground game should come closest to parity with the Obama campaign. 

[TheGlobalizer]

*shrug*

I'd add +4 McCain to the FL and GA numbers.  OH sounds right.

[Alcon]

*shrug*

I'd add +4 McCain to the FL and GA numbers.

Good god, man, seriously

You're adding four points for McCain on Strategic Vision numbers.  Are you going to be holding a stuffed animal election in your basement, at this rate?

[TheGlobalizer]

*shrug*

I'd add +4 McCain to the FL and GA numbers.

Good god, man, seriously

You're adding four points for McCain on Strategic Vision numbers.  Are you going to be holding a stuffed animal election in your basement, at this rate?

That's a good idea, actually.

[Lunar]

*shrug*

I'd add +4 McCain to the FL and GA numbers.  OH sounds right.

Strategic Vision is an (R) pollster with a consistent Republican bias relative to the average of pollsters even if you exclude the moderately to very crappy ones.

You're crazy!

[Lunar]

*shrug*

I'd add +4 McCain to the FL and GA numbers.

Good god, man, seriously

You're adding four points for McCain on Strategic Vision numbers.  Are you going to be holding a stuffed animal election in your basement, at this rate?

Was that a Janitor-from-Scrubs reference?

[Alcon]

*shrug*

I'd add +4 McCain to the FL and GA numbers.

Good god, man, seriously

You're adding four points for McCain on Strategic Vision numbers.  Are you going to be holding a stuffed animal election in your basement, at this rate?

Was that a Janitor-from-Scrubs reference?

Not consciously

[Reds4]

Do you guys really think Florida will be 4 points more democratic than Ohio? In fact if anything I would think it would be the other way around.

[TheGlobalizer]

Do you guys really think Florida will be 4 points more democratic than Ohio? In fact if anything I would think it would be the other way around.

[Alcon]

Do you guys really think Florida will be 4 points more democratic than Ohio? In fact if anything I would think it would be the other way around.

+/-6%, except 5% of the time, assuming perfect methodology.

but no.

[Lunar]

Do you guys really think Florida will be 4 points more democratic than Ohio? In fact if anything I would think it would be the other way around.

I think it has a good chance of being 4 points + MoE more Democratic than Ohio, but I also think it's absurd just to assume that Strategic Vision has some sort of Democratic bias!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Do you guys really think Florida will be 4 points more democratic than Ohio? In fact if anything I would think it would be the other way around.

I really think it might be. 

Early on in this race I was expecting Ohio to be in Obama's column ever before PENNSYLVANIA.  Ohio turned out to be........stubborn, to say the least. 

[Lief 🗽]

I think Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania will be interesting states to watch because those are the sates that McCain's ground game should come closest to parity with the Obama campaign. 

The Obama campaign knocked on 1 million doors in Ohio, just today.

[Lunar]

I think Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania will be interesting states to watch because those are the sates that McCain's ground game should come closest to parity with the Obama campaign. 

The Obama campaign knocked on 1 million doors in Ohio, just today.

I made a thread about that, I know.

[Person Man]

This is plausable, after the Bradley effect...but I think that Obama will probably win Ohio before Florida.