IN-PPP: Obama+1

[Tender Branson]

Obama - 49
McCain - 48

PPP surveyed 2,634 likely voters from October 31st to November 2nd. The survey’s margin of error is +/-1.9%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Indiana_1103845.pdf

[exopolitician]

Is this the last Indiana poll to go out or what...?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It seems to be 50/50. We'll see what the returns look like tomorrow, as it may be a good indicator of what will go on the rest of the night.

[Ronnie]

It seems to be 50/50. We'll see what the returns look like tomorrow, as it may be a good indicator of what will go on the rest of the night.

McCain should be preparing his concession speech if Indiana is "too close to call" when polls close.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It seems to be 50/50. We'll see what the returns look like tomorrow, as it may be a good indicator of what will go on the rest of the night.

McCain should be preparing his concession speech if Indiana is "too close to call" when polls close.

Not really. South Carolina, Mississippi, Virginia, North Carolina were all too close to call in the last election. If Indiana is too close to call after an hour, then he should start preparing a concession speech.

[Ronnie]

It seems to be 50/50. We'll see what the returns look like tomorrow, as it may be a good indicator of what will go on the rest of the night.

McCain should be preparing his concession speech if Indiana is "too close to call" when polls close.

Not really. South Carolina, Mississippi, Virginia, North Carolina were all too close to call in the last election. If Indiana is too close to call after an hour, then he should start preparing a concession speech.

MS was too early to call, IIRC.

I guess I didn't formulate my words correctly.  You took the words right out of my mouth in saying that if it's too close to call after an hour.  An even better indication is if VA is called for Obama within an hour of polls closing there.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It seems to be 50/50. We'll see what the returns look like tomorrow, as it may be a good indicator of what will go on the rest of the night.

McCain should be preparing his concession speech if Indiana is "too close to call" when polls close.

Not really. South Carolina, Mississippi, Virginia, North Carolina were all too close to call in the last election. If Indiana is too close to call after an hour, then he should start preparing a concession speech.

MS was too early to call, IIRC.

I guess I didn't formulate my words correctly.  You took the words right out of my mouth in saying that if it's too close to call after an hour.  An even better indication is if VA is called for Obama within an hour of polls closing there.

If VA is called within the first hour, it's pretty much over. If Indiana goes to McCain by a larger margin than expected, he might do pretty well. My hope is this: VA and NC both overpolled the Dems by 5% in 2004. VA was Bush +3 polling wise and Bush won by 8. NC was Bush +8 and he won by 13. If that happens again, McCain might have a chance at Virginia and he'll win North Carolina.

We'll see what happens. I'll give McCain a 15% chance tomorrow.

[Ronnie]

It seems to be 50/50. We'll see what the returns look like tomorrow, as it may be a good indicator of what will go on the rest of the night.

McCain should be preparing his concession speech if Indiana is "too close to call" when polls close.

Not really. South Carolina, Mississippi, Virginia, North Carolina were all too close to call in the last election. If Indiana is too close to call after an hour, then he should start preparing a concession speech.

MS was too early to call, IIRC.

I guess I didn't formulate my words correctly.  You took the words right out of my mouth in saying that if it's too close to call after an hour.  An even better indication is if VA is called for Obama within an hour of polls closing there.

If VA is called within the first hour, it's pretty much over. If Indiana goes to McCain by a larger margin than expected, he might do pretty well. My hope is this: VA and NC both overpolled the Dems by 5% in 2004. VA was Bush +3 polling wise and Bush won by 8. NC was Bush +8 and he won by 13. If that happens again, McCain might have a chance at Virginia and he'll win North Carolina.

We'll see what happens. I'll give McCain a 15% chance tomorrow.

McCain would have to win all of: NC, VA, FL, OH, and PA; or NC, VA, FL, OH, and CO to win.  Not happening, Duke.