FL: Survey USA: Obama leads
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 19, 2024, 12:34:42 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL: Survey USA: Obama leads
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL: Survey USA: Obama leads  (Read 7172 times)
ChrisFromNJ
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,742


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -8.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2008, 11:08:32 PM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ed8485a2-f519-4a47-be10-1d76de953b29

Obama: 50 (+3)
McCain: 47 (-2)
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 11:16:18 PM »

I think FL will vote for McCain, since Kerry underperformed polls in '04 by a few points.  It will be very narrow, though.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 11:24:35 PM »

SUSA may be right, but they suck at FL polling (I said this when McCain was ahead in the poll, btw).
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 11:34:41 PM »

The undecideds are 3% here; on Rasmussen they are 1%.  This might be a Bradley Effect state.  That will be something to look for.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 11:37:52 PM »



that will be my favorite part of tomorrow.   That ending.

SUSA is erratic, I give it a bit less to Obama.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2008, 12:03:54 AM »



that will be my favorite part of tomorrow.   That ending.

SUSA is erratic, I give it a bit less to Obama.

No, I'm looking for an actual measurement of it, ex post facto.  We have one state where the polls are around the MOE, FL.  One state where the polls trend slightly to Obama, VA.  A couple of large leads, CA and MA.  And then there is PA.

Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2008, 12:06:57 AM »

And pray tell, how will you differentiate the pro-Obama bias from the pro-Black bias?


Logged
RuhanS
Newbie
*
Posts: 7
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2008, 01:10:25 PM »

wow.. they were spot on at the end!
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2008, 09:30:32 AM »

And pray tell, how will you differentiate the pro-Obama bias from the pro-Black bias?




If there had been a difference, it would be to look at a lot of polls in FL and look at the margins and look at the results in many states.
Logged
War on Want
Evilmexicandictator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,643
Uzbekistan


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -8.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 06, 2009, 05:56:47 PM »

The undecideds are 3% here; on Rasmussen they are 1%.  This might be a Bradley Effect state.  That will be something to look for.
lol
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2009, 04:31:45 AM »

The undecideds are 3% here; on Rasmussen they are 1%.  This might be a Bradley Effect state.  That will be something to look for.
lol

No, lol:

And pray tell, how will you differentiate the pro-Obama bias from the pro-Black bias?




If there had been a difference, it would be to look at a lot of polls in FL and look at the margins and look at the results in many states.

Although, to be fair, he did look at many states; i.e., the ones that agreed with his thesis.

Edit: Oh, wow this is old.  Let's give him a break, then
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 15 queries.