Demographic Maps (for election night)

[Sibboleth]

Thought this might be a good idea.

Poverty]http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=790]Poverty
With Degree]http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=732]With Degree
Men in Managerial Occupations]http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=713]Men in Managerial Occupations

Blacks]http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=683]Blacks
Manufacturing Employment]http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=673]Manufacturing Employment

Various stuff done for the primaries:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=268
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=257
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=334
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=434

And a link to one of the best websites there is on this subject: http://www.valpo.edu/geomet/geo/courses/geo200/HomePage.html

I'll also add a link to my two-thirds-done attempt at county-classification when I've made the colours easier to read and so on.

[Bro-mentum]

Yay!!!

[Sibboleth]

No, I think I need some sleep now actually. So here it is, confusing colours and all:



It's mostly based around employment patterns of one sort of another, although that's obviously not the case in the South. Shame I didn't get to finish it before the election, but the general patterns are obvious enough anyway, I hope.

Nos da

[Democratic Hawk]

In an election guide, The Times tells me to pay close attention to Vigo County, IN to see if Obama is scoring with the white working class

I won't be online to watch though . I'm off to an Election Night Bash within moments

Dave

[TheGlobalizer]

Not sure exactly what the colors means, but to describe MD demographics to anyone who cares:

Western MD = Appalachia
Central MD = DC/Philly-style Mid-Atlantic upper-middle class; DC suburbs skew a bit more socially liberal than the rest of the state
Baltimore = >50% black, poor city
Eastern Shore / Southern MD = similar to rural/agricultural upper south (tobacco/corn); think NC/VA, not SC/GA.

Border counties: Western/Central = Frederick + Carroll; Central/Southern = Charles + Calvert; Central/ES = Queen Anne's, Harford.

Outliers: Prince Georges = high black demos; Montgomery = skews affluent + liberal.

Typically Democratic: Baltimore City; Prince Georges; Montgomery (urban + inner suburbs)
Swing: Baltimore County; Howard; Anne Arundel; Charles; Harford (I-95 corridor)
Typically Republican: everywhere else (west, east, south)

Projection: Obama +18 (58/40)

[Sam Spade]

Thank you, Al.

[J. J.]

18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

[Verily]

18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

Only if by "the same" you mean "increased from 17% to 18% in exit polls which are a dubious measure anyway."

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

[Senator Sbane]

18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

The difference being the huge margin young voters gave Obama. Turnout overall seems to have fallen though, at least here in California. Or maybe there are just that many early votes out still.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

The difference being the huge margin young voters gave Obama. Turnout overall seems to have fallen though, at least here in California. Or maybe there are just that many early votes out still.

Every 4 years people talk about how Californian turnout has fallen, and then every 4 years it turns out that there are actually another couple of million provisional and absentee ballots.

[J. J.]

18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

Only if by "the same" you mean "increased from 17% to 18% in exit polls which are a dubious measure anyway."

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

No, I was using Pew's prior numbers:
http://www.pewtrusts.org/news_room_detail.aspx?id=17696

[J. J.]

18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

The difference being the huge margin young voters gave Obama. Turnout overall seems to have fallen though, at least here in California. Or maybe there are just that many early votes out still.

Every 4 years people talk about how Californian turnout has fallen, and then every 4 years it turns out that there are actually another couple of million provisional and absentee ballots.

It was from exit polls, and it doesn't look like there was a great change this year (possibly a drop due to rounding, but a fractional point).

The one state where we have data, NC, it actually dropped as percentage of the total vote at least in early voting.  2004 was an uptick year in the 18-29 voters.

[nick]

Not sure exactly what the colors means, but to describe MD demographics to anyone who cares:

Western MD = Appalachia
Central MD = DC/Philly-style Mid-Atlantic upper-middle class; DC suburbs skew a bit more socially liberal than the rest of the state
Baltimore = >50% black, poor city
Eastern Shore / Southern MD = similar to rural/agricultural upper south (tobacco/corn); think NC/VA, not SC/GA.

Border counties: Western/Central = Frederick + Carroll; Central/Southern = Charles + Calvert; Central/ES = Queen Anne's, Harford.

Outliers: Prince Georges = high black demos; Montgomery = skews affluent + liberal.

Typically Democratic: Baltimore City; Prince Georges; Montgomery (urban + inner suburbs)
Swing: Baltimore County; Howard; Anne Arundel; Charles; Harford (I-95 corridor)
Typically Republican: everywhere else (west, east, south)

Projection: Obama +18 (58/40)

Very nice and I agree with the exception of Anne Arundel and Harford.  D's still have a party registration advantage in both, but neither are swing counties.  I'd place Hardford and Anne Arundel in the Typically Republican column.