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| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | | |-+  Wow... Nevada?!
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Author Topic: Wow... Nevada?!  (Read 4812 times)
Lіef
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« on: November 05, 2008, 03:33:26 am »
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Obama is on track to win Nevada by double digits. This was a state that was a tossup and titled to McCain for much of the election season, until the last month or so. And he's currently running close to WA/OR numbers in the state. What happened?
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2008, 03:35:04 am »
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What happened?

The economy (housing, construction, growth), stupid.
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2008, 03:35:33 am »
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Obama turned out the voters in the only 2 counties that mattered.

How did he not break 40% in Arkansas is what I'm wondering.
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2008, 03:38:13 am »
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Obama turned out the voters in the only 2 counties that mattered.

How did he not break 40% in Arkansas is what I'm wondering.

There was absolutely no turnout operation in Arkansas.

Seems to actually be a trend in many of the state and county results. Much easier to scare folks in places where they don't see or hear Obama on TV every day or know a zillion people who volunteer for his campaign.

I think the sheer size and power of Obama's operation helped quell racist and inexperience fears in places where it was put to best effect.
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2008, 03:50:21 am »
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Ahh yes Nevada. I never trusted any of those polls and I was right. This state is just way too quirky and growing too fast for good polls.
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IDS Attorney General PiT
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2008, 03:52:17 am »
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     It was pretty obvious that NV & NM were going to go to Obama, though I was astonished by the margin of victory in both of them.
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2008, 03:54:26 am »
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This state is growing too quickly to really know what's going on exactly. That said, I'd point to the Hispanic vote as the key to the big Obama vicotry.
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2008, 03:57:30 am »
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I submit that Washoe County has a stupid face and is not reporting results and may therefore be much less strong for Obama than the current (7% reporting) figures indicate. In which case Obama may not win by more than 10% statewide, if Washoe settles down to a more reasonable 3-5 point Obama lead there when more results come in.
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2008, 04:00:06 am »
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Obama leading by 27% with >80% of precincts reporting.

Just shows how hard Nevada is to poll.
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2008, 04:02:53 am »
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Some of these results don't even seem real.
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2008, 04:04:12 am »
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Some of these results don't even seem real.

     I know. VT going 67-31 for Obama? Wow.
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2008, 04:05:37 am »
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Orange County is now at 51-47 for McCain....

How does he still have 47% of the popular vote?
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2008, 04:50:39 am »
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Orange County is now at 51-47 for McCain....

How does he still have 47% of the popular vote?

The base of the parties have changed fundamentally.....and Obama wins Washoe by double digits as well. I always thought Obama would win this county but I never could have predicted this.
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2008, 04:51:55 am »
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Washoe finally came in, Obama up "only" by 12 in the end.
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2008, 04:54:33 am »
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Some of these results don't even seem real.

     I know. VT going 67-31 for Obama? Wow.

It's really amazing to see. Butte County for Obama? Hawaii at 70+? McCain at only 62% in Utah?
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« Reply #15 on: March 09, 2010, 04:17:11 pm »
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In a small state like Nevada it's easy to change margins like that. Also, they were hit hardest by the housing market fall. Not to mention the western Reagan type conservatives weren't motivated to vote for McCain. Also, this is where ACORN did its worst! So basically Obama would've lost this state without those 4 factors. Oh and another thing! Where do you think Prince Harry will be retiring in this state? HAHAHAHA!!!
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« Reply #16 on: April 21, 2010, 02:43:36 pm »
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In a small state like Nevada it's easy to change margins like that. Also, they were hit hardest by the housing market fall. Not to mention the western Reagan type conservatives weren't motivated to vote for McCain. Also, this is where ACORN did its worst! So basically Obama would've lost this state without those 4 factors. Oh and another thing! Where do you think Prince Harry will be retiring in this state? HAHAHAHA!!!

lololololololol
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« Reply #17 on: April 21, 2010, 02:49:20 pm »
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In a small state like Nevada it's easy to change margins like that. Also, they were hit hardest by the housing market fall. Not to mention the western Reagan type conservatives weren't motivated to vote for McCain. Also, this is where ACORN did its worst! So basically Obama would've lost this state without those 4 factors. Oh and another thing! Where do you think Prince Harry will be retiring in this state? HAHAHAHA!!!

Someone didn't take their pills this morning.
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« Reply #18 on: April 21, 2010, 06:07:08 pm »
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Obama's victory margin in NV was so large primarily due to the financial crisis, which hit Nevada pretty hard (harder than many other states).
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« Reply #19 on: April 21, 2010, 06:32:57 pm »
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Obama's victory margin in NV was so large primarily due to the financial crisis, which hit Nevada pretty hard (harder than many other states).

I would think CA was worse.
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« Reply #20 on: April 21, 2010, 06:59:09 pm »
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Obama's victory margin in NV was so large primarily due to the financial crisis, which hit Nevada pretty hard (harder than many other states).

I would think CA was worse.

It was, but I was comparing NV to most other U.S. states. Obviously there were some states that were hit more than Nevada.
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« Reply #21 on: April 22, 2010, 12:48:28 am »
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He is doing poorly in Nevada now. It is about as purple of a state as they come so I'm sure it's not swaying to either column. However, in the past 2 decades it has moved from being a reliable Republican state.
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« Reply #22 on: April 22, 2010, 12:54:47 am »
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He is doing poorly in Nevada now. It is about as purple of a state as they come so I'm sure it's not swaying to either column. However, in the past 2 decades it has moved from being a reliable Republican state.

and ACORN!111!!1!1!!!!11211!1@@!@!!
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« Reply #23 on: April 22, 2010, 01:39:32 am »
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He is doing poorly in Nevada now. It is about as purple of a state as they come so I'm sure it's not swaying to either column. However, in the past 2 decades it has moved from being a reliable Republican state.

Kennedy won Nevada in 1960, when he won none of the surrounding states.
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« Reply #24 on: April 22, 2010, 04:15:30 pm »
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He is doing poorly in Nevada now. It is about as purple of a state as they come so I'm sure it's not swaying to either column. However, in the past 2 decades it has moved from being a reliable Republican state.

Kennedy won Nevada in 1960, when he won none of the surrounding states.

Clinton carried it both times as well.
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