kevinatcausa
Rookie
Posts: 196
Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04
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« on: November 05, 2008, 11:46:00 AM » |
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Was Georgia really that far off?
I'm not sure if all the early votes have been counted or not, but right now McCain's up 5.6%.
The most recent polls of various companies were
SurveyUSA: McCain+7
Mason-Dixon: McCain+6
Rasmussen: McCain+5
CNN/Time: McCain+5
Strategic Vision: McCain+4
Research2000: McCain+3
PPP: McCain+2
InsiderAdvantage: McCain+1
So while there were a couple bad eggs, most of the polls were within a point or two.
As for North Dakota, the problem was that we had very few polls, and those that we had were not from the best firms. The last Rasmussen Poll was September 8, the last SurveyUSA poll was in February, and we were essentially trying to guess the state's result based on a couple Research2000 polls.
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