Normalized map (50/50 PV split)

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

[sarcasm]This is shocking/sarcasm]

Obama 269
McCain 260
Tossup 9

Iowa tipped Obama to an electoral tie, and Colorado put him over the top.

This map is eerily similar to 2000.  The electoral map hasn't changed all that much.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

uh, no, Obama had the tie before Colorado.  With Colorado, Obama wins no problem.

You're right.  Silly me.  It's fixed now.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

This is the Nevada/NH swing from 2000 that produces the tie many thought could happen this year.

This kinda proves how possible the tie really was.  Had the election been 49.6 -49.4 McCain, it probably would have been a tie, according to this.

I was surprised that Iowa was at the center.

Based solely on the last 3 elections, Iowa looks like the current bellweather.

Oregon is still a swing state too, even though everyone's forgotten.  It's one half northern California, one half Idaho.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Wait a minute. Doesn't CO have about a 2% Dem bias this time?

I'll update this map in a few days when more votes are in and we have more quality numbers.  It might shift around a bit.  At the time I took this snapshot CO was exactly the same margin as the nation PV.