kevinatcausa
Rookie
Posts: 196
Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04
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« on: November 05, 2008, 06:51:37 PM » |
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The interesting thing to me was the following:
National swing needed for McCain to pull ahead in the popular vote: about 6.2%
National swing needed for McCain to tie in the electoral vote: about 6.8% (Obama's lead in Colorado)
National swing needed for McCain to pull ahead in the electoral vote: about 9.3% (Obama's lead in Iowa)
In other words (assuming uniform swings), Obama could have lost the popular vote by 3% and still pulled off a tie in the electoral vote. Now that would have been a nightmarish scenario in the House.
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