Whats going on with OH-15 VA-5, WA-8, MD-1, CA-4, AK-ALL updates/votes?
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  Whats going on with OH-15 VA-5, WA-8, MD-1, CA-4, AK-ALL updates/votes?
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Author Topic: Whats going on with OH-15 VA-5, WA-8, MD-1, CA-4, AK-ALL updates/votes?  (Read 3507 times)
AngelFromKansas
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« on: November 06, 2008, 09:41:13 AM »

I got the house at 254-173.

MD- 1; 160,915 [D] 160,000 [R] is this the final result. some have called some havent.
VA - 4; 157,456 [D] 157,376 [R] soooo tight. recount.
CA - 4; 155,771 [R] 155,320 [D] i assme a recount.
OH - 15; 146,907 [R] 134,472 [D] this was called now its not. i cant find the data updated.

WA-8 95,221 [r] 93,368 [d]

Has alaska been called yet is it just absentee ballots?

and whats up in Louisiana-2 and 4?

are the dems going to carry wa-8?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2008, 09:59:37 AM »

AK-AL is over.

As for WA-08, if Burner can't get her lead to being larger than 2,000 votes in King County, she'll lose.  Reichert's ahead (and will be ahead) in Pierce County which is much more friendly to him.  And King County is already 58%, whereas Pierce is only 44% and Reichert's still ahead by a couple of thousand.
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cannonia
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2008, 10:14:22 AM »

Latest from the CA Secretary of State:


Charlie Brown (Dem)   155,735   49.8%   
Tom McClintock (Rep)   156,379   50.2%


Very interesting race.  Placer County is a near-tie, so the smaller counties will push the margin one way or the other.  Lunar may know more about where ballots are still unprocessed; you can expect Nevada County to deliver some more votes for Brown while the rest of the district might be more even or favor McClintock.

The conventional wisdom, of course, is that provisional ballots would generally favor the Democrat while vote-by-mail ballots generally help the Republicans.  The last updates from Plumas and Lassen counties increased McClintock's margin.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2008, 10:57:58 AM »

AK-AL is over.

As for WA-08, if Burner can't get her lead to being larger than 2,000 votes in King County, she'll lose.  Reichert's ahead (and will be ahead) in Pierce County which is much more friendly to him.  And King County is already 58%, whereas Pierce is only 44% and Reichert's still ahead by a couple of thousand.

Kos is saying that King County has reported poll votes, which favored Reichert last time and so far this year, while vote by mail is coming in more slowly and should favor Burner.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2008, 12:50:30 PM »

AK-AL is over.

As for WA-08, if Burner can't get her lead to being larger than 2,000 votes in King County, she'll lose.  Reichert's ahead (and will be ahead) in Pierce County which is much more friendly to him.  And King County is already 58%, whereas Pierce is only 44% and Reichert's still ahead by a couple of thousand.

Kos is saying that King County has reported poll votes, which favored Reichert last time and so far this year, while vote by mail is coming in more slowly and should favor Burner.


Looking at the numbers from 2006, Reichert won King County by 304 votes and Pierce by 7,037.

Presently, Burner leads King by 2,220 votes and Reichert leads Pierce by 4,073 votes.

A long way to go...
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2008, 01:18:22 PM »

Update on OH-15:

Kilroy, Stivers may be in for long wait in 15th

In the 15th, Republican state Sen. Steve Stivers clung to a 146-vote lead last night over Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy out of nearly 290,000 votes counted in the district. The 15th covers western Franklin County and all of Madison and Union counties.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2008, 02:05:43 PM »

LA-2 and LA-4 had primary runoffs on tuesday and will not have the general election until December. Louisiana's system is weird this year.

In LA-2, Moreno lost to (gag) incumbent Congressman Jefferson and Jefferson will go on to win against the token opposition.

In LA-4, Carmouche beat Banks on the Democratic side while Fleming beat Gorman on the Republican side. Carmouche and Fleming will face each other next month (Fleming will probably win).
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Torie
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2008, 02:12:11 PM »

Update on OH-15:

Kilroy, Stivers may be in for long wait in 15th

In the 15th, Republican state Sen. Steve Stivers clung to a 146-vote lead last night over Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy out of nearly 290,000 votes counted in the district. The 15th covers western Franklin County and all of Madison and Union counties.


The Dems will pick up this seat as the provisional ballots are counted, which tend to be cast by Dem dumbs. They also have some late absentees that will be Dem biased.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2008, 04:35:23 PM »

In LA-2, Moreno lost to (gag) incumbent Congressman Jefferson

Looking at a photo of Moreno, I don't think that that outcome was ever much in doubt.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2008, 04:56:53 PM »

Update on OH-15:

Kilroy, Stivers may be in for long wait in 15th

In the 15th, Republican state Sen. Steve Stivers clung to a 146-vote lead last night over Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy out of nearly 290,000 votes counted in the district. The 15th covers western Franklin County and all of Madison and Union counties.


The Dems will pick up this seat as the provisional ballots are counted, which tend to be cast by Dem dumbs. They also have some late absentees that will be Dem biased.

I suspect you're right, of course.
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2008, 06:00:36 PM »

CA-04 has to wait for the absentees and provisionals to be counted. It could take 4 weeks.
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Torie
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« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2008, 06:02:22 PM »

Virgil Goode roars back into a 98 vote lead. Keep hope alive!

Goode 157,563
Bad 157,465
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2008, 06:04:30 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2008, 06:12:52 PM by Alcon »

King County is not being affected by the late ballot effect, at least not yet.  Reichert gained maybe 25 votes in the latest dump, while Obama has actually slightly increased his countywide margin.  WA-8 isn't over yet, although I'd still be surprised if Burner pulled it off.  My suspicion is that the King County absentees will eventually start trending more GOP.

More of Pierce is out anyway, now (about 43% in vs. 59% for King)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2008, 06:07:37 PM »

Virgil Goode roars back into a 98 vote lead. Keep hope alive!

Goode 157,563
Bad 157,465

Bah, humbug. At least Barletta lost.
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Torie
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« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2008, 06:11:03 PM »

Well, the triumph of the Goode proved to be highly ephemeral. What goes up, must come down. The CNN numbers are stale, and out of date. Here are the most current numbers from the Virginia Board of Elections as Bad moves into a dramatic lead of 639 votes.

Perriello: 158,523
Goode: 157,894
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Torie
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« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2008, 06:12:38 PM »

King County is not being affected by the late ballot effect, at least not yet.  Reichert gained maybe 25 votes in the latest dump, while Obama has actually slightly increased his countywide margin.  WA-8 isn't over yet, although I'd still be surprised if Burner pulled it off.  My suspicion is that the King County absentees will eventually start trending more GOP.

What animates the suspicion disclosed in the last sentence of your paragraph?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2008, 07:01:45 PM »

Most of the absentees for MD-01 have been counted, and Kratovil's lead has increased to 1,871 votes. The only counties left are Cecil, Harford, Talbot, and Worcester. Harford went for Harris, the other three for Kratovil. It doesn't look like Harris has a shot here.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2008, 11:22:42 PM »

Update on OH-15:

Kilroy, Stivers may be in for long wait in 15th

In the 15th, Republican state Sen. Steve Stivers clung to a 146-vote lead last night over Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy out of nearly 290,000 votes counted in the district. The 15th covers western Franklin County and all of Madison and Union counties.


The Dems will pick up this seat as the provisional ballots are counted, which tend to be cast by Dem dumbs. They also have some late absentees that will be Dem biased.

More like the idiot poll workers forced tens of thousands of qualified voters to cast provisional ballots due to a computer glitch.  I saw an estimate today in the Columbus paper that implied there may be as many as 35,000 provisional ballots to be counted in this race.  Bottom line, the results from OH-15 will once again be unknown for quite some time.
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2008, 12:22:51 AM »

In VA-5, Goode has retaken the lead by 98 votes.  That one's going to take a while as well.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2008, 12:28:41 AM »

In VA-5, Goode has retaken the lead by 98 votes.  That one's going to take a while as well.
Sad
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mgrossbe
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2008, 01:06:27 AM »

check on the previous page if your using cnn numbers they are behind by about a half day goode takes the lead by 98 votes early this morning but then loses it and goes behind by 600 some votes.  So it will take awhile but its looking good for perriolla(sp). Knocks on wood.
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2008, 01:24:04 AM »

check on the previous page if your using cnn numbers they are behind by about a half day goode takes the lead by 98 votes early this morning but then loses it and goes behind by 600 some votes.  So it will take awhile but its looking good for perriolla(sp). Knocks on wood.

Oh, good point.

Previous and current numbers, per official source:
Perriello (D): 158,523 158,562
Goode (R): 157,894 157,914
Margin: D +648
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cannonia
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« Reply #22 on: November 07, 2008, 01:40:41 AM »

McClintock is up by 700 now.  Way to run up those margins in Lassen and Modoc counties!

Charlie Brown (Dem)   155,807   49.8%   
Tom McClintock (Rep)   156,516   50.2%   

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Verily
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« Reply #23 on: November 07, 2008, 02:10:03 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2008, 02:13:19 AM by Verily »

So many tight congressional races! There weren't nearly this many races decided by sub-1,000-vote margins in 2006. We have VA-05, OH-15, CA-04, maybe MD-01? In 2006 I think it was only CT-02 that was so close.

By the way, very randomly, I just looked up CT-02 on Wikipedia, and apparently the seat changed hands at every election from 1936 through 1950: 8 times in a row! I'm betting that's a record.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2008, 02:49:58 AM »

It looks like Darcy Burner isnt going to make it up in WA-08.  She has fallen behind in critical King county where she needs a 4 point cushion to offset Reichart's big win in Pierce county.  Democrats must be kicking themselves for not going harder after this seat in 2004 when it was open. 
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