Whats going on with OH-15 VA-5, WA-8, MD-1, CA-4, AK-ALL updates/votes? (user search)
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  Whats going on with OH-15 VA-5, WA-8, MD-1, CA-4, AK-ALL updates/votes? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Whats going on with OH-15 VA-5, WA-8, MD-1, CA-4, AK-ALL updates/votes?  (Read 3539 times)
cannonia
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 960
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

« on: November 06, 2008, 10:14:22 AM »

Latest from the CA Secretary of State:


Charlie Brown (Dem)   155,735   49.8%   
Tom McClintock (Rep)   156,379   50.2%


Very interesting race.  Placer County is a near-tie, so the smaller counties will push the margin one way or the other.  Lunar may know more about where ballots are still unprocessed; you can expect Nevada County to deliver some more votes for Brown while the rest of the district might be more even or favor McClintock.

The conventional wisdom, of course, is that provisional ballots would generally favor the Democrat while vote-by-mail ballots generally help the Republicans.  The last updates from Plumas and Lassen counties increased McClintock's margin.
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cannonia
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 960
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2008, 01:40:41 AM »

McClintock is up by 700 now.  Way to run up those margins in Lassen and Modoc counties!

Charlie Brown (Dem)   155,807   49.8%   
Tom McClintock (Rep)   156,516   50.2%   

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cannonia
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 960
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2008, 03:59:10 AM »

http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/c-status08/total_unprocessed_ballots08.pdf


County Vote-By-Mail Provisionals Other* Estimated Remaining Last Update
Provided by County
El Dorado 15,000 1,560 200 16,760 11/5/08 2:35 PM
Nevada 8,162 1,324 856 10,342 11/6/08 3:36 PM
Placer 16,519 4,430 0 20,949 11/6/08 3:53 PM
Plumas Completed 11/5/08 2:13 PM
Sacramento 121,000 19,700 unknown 140,700 11/5/08 10:32 AM
Sierra Completed 11/6/08 2:25 PM
11/6/2008 5:52 PM


(no data for Butte, Lassen, and Modoc)
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cannonia
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 960
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2008, 09:02:52 PM »

More ballots from Lassen and Sacramento Counties.  McClintock's lead is up to 889 votes.  No word from Nevada County, which makes up nearly all of Brown's lead.

Here's my tally, from the SoS and county web pages:


County       Brown    McClintock   Margin
Butte        6,974    7,616        -642
El Dorado    36,192   36,693       -501
Lassen       4,034    6,911        -2,877
Modoc        1,600    2,697        -1,097
Nevada       25,125   18,589       6,536
Placer       70,322   72,365       -2,043
Plumas       5,603    5,145        458
Sacramento   5,531    6,262        -731
Sierra       979      971          8
         
Total        156,360  157,249      -889
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cannonia
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 960
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2008, 11:13:22 PM »

Modoc, Plumas, and Sierra Counties have finished counting.

Here's the breakdown for the rest:
Lassen: 592
Nevada: 10,342
Butte: 16,530
El Dorado:16,760
Placer: 20,949
Sacramento: 140,700 (who knows how many are in the district)
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